Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Victoria vs FCM Ungheni

Moldova Moldova

Liga 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FCM Ungheni in this Liga 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored FCM Ungheni.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Victoria
6%
Draws
90%
FCM Ungheni
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: FCM Ungheni

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FCM Ungheni lately — more wins on the board than Victoria.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on FCM Ungheni taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • FCM Ungheni have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Victoria Clean Sheet 10%
FCM Ungheni Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Victoria FCM Ungheni
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 16
Draws 3 3
Losses 20 11
Goals Scored 1.5 2.63
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2026 Super Liga
FCM Ungheni vs Victoria
4:2
Apr 10, 2026 Liga 1
FCM Ungheni vs Victoria
6:2
Nov 7, 2025 Liga 1
Victoria vs FCM Ungheni
1:2
Sep 26, 2025 Liga 1
FCM Ungheni vs Victoria
3:1
Aug 15, 2025 Liga 1
Victoria vs FCM Ungheni
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Victoria 10 / 100
FCM Ungheni 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Victoria FCM Ungheni

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FCM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FCM Ungheni's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 5.20 goals as a typical output.

Victoria found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Recent resilience: Victoria stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Victoria VS FCM Ungheni
1.5 Goals Scored 2.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Victoria

(Home)
06 May
FCM Ungheni
4 : 2
Victoria
24 Apr
Victoria
1 : 1
Univer Comrat
18 Apr
Olimp Comrat
3 : 4
Victoria
10 Apr
FCM Ungheni
6 : 2
Victoria
03 Apr
Victoria
0 : 0
Oguzsport
Page 1 of 6

FCM Ungheni

(Away)
27 Jun
FC Bacau
1 : 0
FCM Ungheni
16 May
Floresti
5 : 4
FCM Ungheni
06 May
FCM Ungheni
4 : 2
Victoria
24 Apr
FCM Ungheni
5 : 1
Zimbru Chisinau 2
17 Apr
Univer Comrat
4 : 3
FCM Ungheni
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Stauceni15122145:1238
2Real Sireti15112252:2035
3Univer Comrat1590633:2527
4Sheriff Tiraspol 21543818:2715
5Olimp Comrat15311114:4410
6Falesti15121215:495
Promotion - Super Liga 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 1 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Floresti1594243:1331
2Zimbru Chisinau 21583430:2527
3Iskra Ribnita1583429:2927
4FCM Ungheni1573530:2224
5Oguzsport1524917:2810
6Victoria15211217:497
Promotion - Super Liga 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 1 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)