Sport Picks

Ukraine

Persha Liga 2025/2026 Yuvileiny Stadium

Victoria

2 - 2

Inhulets

Our Tip

Match Events

52'

Yevpak M.

54'

Dubiley V.

64'

Sub

Sharay S. In: Shpyryonok A.

Out: Sharay S.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Persha Liga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Victoria

40%

Draws

29%

Inhulets

Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Inhulets have won more games recently than Victoria.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
History favors Inhulets here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 38%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%

Victoria Clean Sheet 20%

Inhulets Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Victoria	Inhulets
Matches Played	27	28
Wins	8	11
Draws	8	6
Losses	11	11
Goals Scored	1.25	1.38
Goals Conceded	0.88	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Persha Liga

Victoria vs Inhulets

Possession: 50% - 58% Cards: 2 - 1

2:2

Oct 29, 2025 Ukrainian Cup

Victoria vs Inhulets

Possession: 47% - 49% Cards: 3 - 4

0:1

Oct 19, 2025 Persha Liga

Inhulets vs Victoria

Possession: 50% - 44% Cards: 3 - 0

4:2

Nov 19, 2023 Persha Liga

Victoria vs Inhulets

Possession: 48% - 46% Cards: 2 - 1

0:1

Sep 16, 2023 Persha Liga

Inhulets vs Victoria

Possession: 50% - 49% Cards: 4 - 3

3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Victoria Compare

Top Goalscorer Yevpak M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Inhulets Compare

Top Goalscorer Profatylo Y.

2 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Victoria 32 / 100

Inhulets 28 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Victoria Inhulets

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Victoria scored in 70% of their last 27 outings.

Inhulets let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Inhulets's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Victoria VS Inhulets

1.25 Goals Scored 1.38

0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25

63% Over 1.5 75%

38% Over 2.5 63%

25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Bukovyna	30	26	3	1	74:21	81
2	Ch. Odesa	30	19	8	3	44:20	65
3	Livyi Bereg	30	19	6	5	50:21	63
4	Ahrobiznes Volochysk	30	16	5	9	36:28	53
5	Inhulets	30	12	10	8	41:32	46
6	Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)	30	9	10	11	33:33	37
7	Metalist Kharkiv	30	10	7	13	31:35	37
8	Probiy Horodenka	30	10	6	14	29:37	36
9	Fenix Mariupol	30	9	9	12	31:32	36
10	Victoria	30	10	6	14	37:38	36
11	UCSA	30	10	6	14	30:40	36
12	Nyva Ternopil	30	8	10	12	24:34	34
13	FC Chernihiv	30	8	7	15	30:36	31
14	Vorskla Poltava	30	7	9	14	23:36	30
15	FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi	30	4	9	17	20:45	21
16	MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya	30	4	7	19	16:61	19
17	Minaj	0	0	0	0	0:0	0