Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Victoria vs Nyva Ternopil

Ukraine Ukraine

Persha Liga 2025/2026 Yuvileiny Stadium, Sumy
Our Tip

Match Events

54'
Sub
Mykhayliv V. In: Galas T.
Out: Mykhayliv V.
55' Event
Sasovskyi M.
63'
Sub
Vyshynskyi B. In: Ugrynyuk M.
Out: Vyshynskyi B.

AI Match Summary

Victoria in this Persha Liga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Victoria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Victoria
30%
Draws
34%
Nyva Ternopil
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Victoria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Victoria have won more games recently than Nyva Ternopil.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Victoria taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Victoria Clean Sheet 20%
Nyva Ternopil Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Victoria Nyva Ternopil
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 8 7
Draws 8 8
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.25 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 Persha Liga
Victoria vs Nyva Ternopil
1:0
Sep 13, 2025 Persha Liga
Nyva Ternopil vs Victoria
2:1
May 30, 2025 Persha Liga
Victoria vs Nyva Ternopil
3:0
Apr 27, 2025 Persha Liga
Nyva Ternopil vs Victoria
0:0
Mar 4, 2024 Club Friendly
Nyva Ternopil vs Victoria
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Victoria Compare

Top Goalscorer Sasovskyi M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Nyva Ternopil Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Victoria 36 / 100
Nyva Ternopil 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Victoria Nyva Ternopil

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Victoria scored in 70% of their last 27 outings.

Nyva Ternopil let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Victoria remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Victoria VS Nyva Ternopil
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Victoria

(Home)
14 Jul
Livyi Bereg
1 : 1
Victoria
01 Jun
Fenix Mariupol
2 : 0
Victoria
23 May
Victoria
0 : 1
Probiy Horodenka
16 May
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
1 : 0
Victoria
10 May
Victoria
2 : 2
Inhulets
Page 1 of 6

Nyva Ternopil

(Away)
18 Jul
Veres Rivne
1 : 1
Nyva Ternopil
03 Jul
Karpaty Lviv
2 : 1
Nyva Ternopil
01 Jun
UCSA
3 : 0
Nyva Ternopil
23 May
Nyva Ternopil
1 : 1
Vorskla Poltava
17 May
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
1 : 2
Nyva Ternopil
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bukovyna30263174:2181
2Ch. Odesa30198344:2065
3Livyi Bereg30196550:2163
4Ahrobiznes Volochysk30165936:2853
5Inhulets301210841:3246
6Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)309101133:3337
7Metalist Kharkiv301071331:3537
8Probiy Horodenka301061429:3736
9Fenix Mariupol30991231:3236
10Victoria301061437:3836
11UCSA301061430:4036
12Nyva Ternopil308101224:3434
13FC Chernihiv30871530:3631
14Vorskla Poltava30791423:3630
15FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi30491720:4521
16MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya30471916:6119
17Minaj00000:00
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Druha Liga 2025/2026 (Promotion)
Relegation - Druha Liga (Main)