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Victoria vs Oguzsport

Moldova Moldova

Liga 1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Oguzsport in this Liga 1 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Oguzsport.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Victoria
20%
Draws
47%
Oguzsport
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Oguzsport

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Oguzsport have won more games recently than Victoria.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Liga 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Victoria Clean Sheet 12%
Oguzsport Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Victoria Oguzsport
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 8 10
Draws 4 9
Losses 19 12
Goals Scored 1.39 1.23
Goals Conceded 2.71 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 Liga 1
Oguzsport vs Victoria
1:1
Jul 31, 2026 Liga 1
Victoria vs Oguzsport
0:1
Apr 3, 2026 Liga 1
Victoria vs Oguzsport
0:0
Nov 21, 2025 Liga 1
Oguzsport vs Victoria
1:2
Oct 3, 2025 Liga 1
Victoria vs Oguzsport
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Victoria 30 / 100
Oguzsport 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Victoria Oguzsport

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Oguzsport Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Victoria scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Oguzsport let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Victoria has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Victoria VS Oguzsport
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Victoria

(Home)
18 Sept
Stauceni
4 : 1
Victoria
12 Sept
Victoria
2 : 1
Falesti
04 Sept
Oguzsport
1 : 1
Victoria
01 Sept
Victoria
5 : 3
Falesti
28 Aug
Victoria
0 : 2
National Ialoveni
Page 1 of 7

Oguzsport

(Away)
19 Sept
Falesti
0 : 2
Oguzsport
11 Sept
Oguzsport
2 : 1
National Ialoveni
04 Sept
Oguzsport
1 : 1
Victoria
01 Sept
Oguzsport
2 : 1
Vulturii Cutezatori
22 Aug
Stauceni
1 : 0
Oguzsport
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vulturii Cutezatori 8 6 1 1 27:14 19
2 Iskra Ribnita 8 6 0 2 22:8 18
3 FCM Ungheni 8 4 2 2 23:16 14
4 Univer Comrat 8 2 3 3 17:17 9
5 Zimbru Chisinau 2 8 2 1 5 14:20 7
6 Sparta Selemet 8 0 1 7 10:38 1
Promotion - Super Liga (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 1 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Oguzsport 7 4 2 1 8:3 14
2 Stauceni 6 3 1 2 10:7 10
3 National Ialoveni 6 2 1 3 5:6 7
4 Falesti 6 2 1 3 4:6 7
5 Victoria 7 2 1 4 7:12 7
Promotion - Super Liga (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 1 (Relegation Group)