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Victoria vs Probiy Horodenka

Ukraine Ukraine

Persha Liga 2025/2026 Yuvileiny Stadium, Sumy
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Sub
Khromey M. In: Ivanychuk V.
Out: Khromey M.
25'
Borysevych R.
26' Event
Ivanychuk V.

AI Match Summary

Probiy Horodenka in this Persha Liga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Probiy Horodenka.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Victoria
30%
Draws
34%
Probiy Horodenka
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Victoria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Victoria at 1.38 per game, Probiy Horodenka at 1.
  • Win probability leans Victoria's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Victoria Clean Sheet 20%
Probiy Horodenka Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Victoria Probiy Horodenka
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 9
Draws 8 6
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.38 1
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Persha Liga
Victoria vs Probiy Horodenka
0:1
Nov 2, 2025 Persha Liga
Probiy Horodenka vs Victoria
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Victoria Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Probiy Horodenka Compare

Top Goalscorer Ivanychuk V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Victoria 36 / 100
Probiy Horodenka 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Victoria Probiy Horodenka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Victoria found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Probiy Horodenka let in goals in 61% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Victoria went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Victoria VS Probiy Horodenka
1.38 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Victoria

(Home)
14 Jul
Livyi Bereg
1 : 1
Victoria
01 Jun
Fenix Mariupol
2 : 0
Victoria
23 May
Victoria
0 : 1
Probiy Horodenka
16 May
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
1 : 0
Victoria
10 May
Victoria
2 : 2
Inhulets
Page 1 of 6

Probiy Horodenka

(Away)
01 Jun
Probiy Horodenka
0 : 3
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)
23 May
Victoria
0 : 1
Probiy Horodenka
17 May
Fenix Mariupol
0 : 0
Probiy Horodenka
10 May
Probiy Horodenka
1 : 0
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
03 May
Inhulets
3 : 1
Probiy Horodenka
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bukovyna30263174:2181
2Ch. Odesa30198344:2065
3Livyi Bereg30196550:2163
4Ahrobiznes Volochysk30165936:2853
5Inhulets301210841:3246
6Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)309101133:3337
7Metalist Kharkiv301071331:3537
8Probiy Horodenka301061429:3736
9Fenix Mariupol30991231:3236
10Victoria301061437:3836
11UCSA301061430:4036
12Nyva Ternopil308101224:3434
13FC Chernihiv30871530:3631
14Vorskla Poltava30791423:3630
15FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi30491720:4521
16MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya30471916:6119
17Minaj00000:00
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Druha Liga 2025/2026 (Promotion)
Relegation - Druha Liga (Main)