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Victoria vs Sparta Chisinau

Moldova Moldova

Liga 1 2018
Victoria Logo

Victoria

4 - 2
FT
Sparta Chisinau Logo

Sparta Chisinau

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga 1 2018 game between Victoria and Sparta Chisinau finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Victoria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Victoria
15%
Draws
0%
Sparta Chisinau
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Victoria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Sparta Chisinau haven't matched Victoria's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Victoria's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Victoria have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Victoria Clean Sheet 14%
Sparta Chisinau Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Victoria Sparta Chisinau
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 9 0
Draws 4 3
Losses 19 27
Goals Scored 1.53 0.23
Goals Conceded 2.66 3.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2019 Liga 1
Sparta Chisinau vs Victoria
0:3
Apr 27, 2019 Liga 1
Victoria vs Sparta Chisinau
5:2
Oct 6, 2018 Liga 1
Sparta Chisinau vs Victoria
2:2
Jun 16, 2018 Liga 1
Victoria vs Sparta Chisinau
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Victoria 84 / 100
Sparta Chisinau 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Victoria Sparta Chisinau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Victoria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sparta Chisinau has conceded goals in 97% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: Sparta Chisinau registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Victoria scored in 75% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

Victoria VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Victoria

(Home)
18 Sept
Stauceni
4 : 1
Victoria
12 Sept
Victoria
2 : 1
Falesti
04 Sept
Oguzsport
1 : 1
Victoria
01 Sept
Victoria
5 : 3
Falesti
28 Aug
Victoria
0 : 2
National Ialoveni
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Sparta Chisinau

(Away)
09 Nov
Real Sireti
3 : 0
Sparta Chisinau
02 Nov
Sparta Chisinau
0 : 3
Cahul
26 Oct
Real Succes
3 : 0
Sparta Chisinau
19 Oct
Sparta Chisinau
0 : 3
Dacia Buiucani
06 Oct
Tighina
3 : 0
Sparta Chisinau
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Codru Lozova 22 14 6 2 53:20 48
2 Floresti 22 12 4 6 40:27 40
3 Singerei 22 10 6 6 47:42 36
4 Victoria 22 10 5 7 51:43 35
5 Granicerul 22 10 4 8 43:35 34
6 Saksan 22 9 3 10 41:31 30
7 FCM Ungheni 22 7 7 8 50:65 28
8 Cahul 22 7 6 9 38:31 27
9 Real Sireti 22 6 5 11 36:47 23
10 Real Succes 22 6 4 12 49:75 22
11 Sparta Chisinau 22 5 6 11 34:51 21
12 Iskra Ribnita 22 4 8 10 27:42 20
Promotion - Divizia Nationala 2019 (Main)