Sport Picks
Victoria vs Vorskla Poltava
Ukraine
Persha Liga 2025/2026 Yuvileiny Stadium, Sumy 
Match Events
43'
43'
Dvorovenko V.
43'
43'
Khamelyuk V.
(Penalty)
46'
46'
Sub
Baydal A. In: Serdyuk A.
Out: Baydal A.
AI Match Summary
Victoria in this Persha Liga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Victoria.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
33%
27%
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Victoria
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Victoria lately — more wins on the board than Vorskla Poltava.
- Victoria are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- Regular Persha Liga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Victoria have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Victoria Clean Sheet 68%
Vorskla Poltava Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Victoria | Vorskla Poltava |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 26 |
| Wins | 8 | 5 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 0.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.63 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.63 | 1.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 12, 2026 Persha Liga
Victoria vs Vorskla Poltava
1:0
Sep 27, 2025 Persha Liga
Vorskla Poltava vs Victoria
1:1
Aug 22, 2025 Ukrainian Cup
Victoria vs Vorskla Poltava
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Victoria 50 / 100
Vorskla Poltava 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Victoria Vorskla Poltava
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick VIK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Vorskla Poltava has conceded goals in 81% of their last 26 outings.
Victoria's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 27 recent games.
Games between these two average 1.33 goals.
Recent resilience: Victoria stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Victoria VS Vorskla Poltava
1.38 Goals Scored 0.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Victoria
(Home) 14 Jul
Livyi Bereg
1 : 1 Victoria
01 Jun
Fenix Mariupol
2 : 0 Victoria
23 May
Victoria
0 : 1 Probiy Horodenka
16 May
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
1 : 0 Victoria
10 May
Victoria
2 : 2 Inhulets
Page 1 of 6
23 May
Victoria
0 : 1 Probiy Horodenka
10 May
Victoria
2 : 2 Inhulets
26 Apr
Victoria
4 : 0 Ch. Odesa
12 Apr
Victoria
1 : 0 Vorskla Poltava
03 Apr
Victoria
1 : 0 Nyva Ternopil
Page 1 of 3
Vorskla Poltava
(Away) 30 May
Vorskla Poltava
1 : 1 FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
23 May
Nyva Ternopil
1 : 1 Vorskla Poltava
17 May
Vorskla Poltava
1 : 1 Metalist Kharkiv
09 May
Bukovyna
6 : 0 Vorskla Poltava
03 May
Vorskla Poltava
0 : 1 Livyi Bereg
Page 1 of 6
23 May
Nyva Ternopil
1 : 1 Vorskla Poltava
09 May
Bukovyna
6 : 0 Vorskla Poltava
26 Apr
FC Chernihiv
1 : 2 Vorskla Poltava
12 Apr
Victoria
1 : 0 Vorskla Poltava
04 Apr
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
2 : 0 Vorskla Poltava
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bukovyna | 30 | 26 | 3 | 1 | 74:21 | 81 |
| 2 | Ch. Odesa | 30 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 44:20 | 65 |
| 3 | Livyi Bereg | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 50:21 | 63 |
| 4 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk | 30 | 16 | 5 | 9 | 36:28 | 53 |
| 5 | Inhulets | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 41:32 | 46 |
| 6 | Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 33:33 | 37 |
| 7 | Metalist Kharkiv | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 31:35 | 37 |
| 8 | Probiy Horodenka | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 29:37 | 36 |
| 9 | Fenix Mariupol | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 31:32 | 36 |
| 10 | Victoria | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 37:38 | 36 |
| 11 | UCSA | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 30:40 | 36 |
| 12 | Nyva Ternopil | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 24:34 | 34 |
| 13 | FC Chernihiv | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 30:36 | 31 |
| 14 | Vorskla Poltava | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 23:36 | 30 |
| 15 | FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 20:45 | 21 |
| 16 | MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 16:61 | 19 |
| 17 | Minaj | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Druha Liga 2025/2026 (Promotion)
Relegation - Druha Liga (Main)