Sport Picks
Victoria vs Vorskla Poltava - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Ukraine
Ukrainian Cup 2025/2026 Yuvileiny Stadium, Sumy 
Match Events
24'
24'
Shpyryonok A.
AI Match Summary
Victoria in this Ukrainian Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
35%
24%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Victoria
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Victoria have won more games recently than Vorskla Poltava.
- Win probability leans Victoria's way, sitting at 50%.
- Victoria have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Victoria, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 3 times recently and Victoria have taken 2 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 17%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Victoria Clean Sheet 68%
Vorskla Poltava Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Victoria | Vorskla Poltava |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 26 |
| Wins | 13 | 5 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 9 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.27 | 0.69 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 12, 2026 Persha Liga
Victoria vs Vorskla Poltava
1:0
Sep 27, 2025 Persha Liga
Vorskla Poltava vs Victoria
1:1
Aug 22, 2025 Ukrainian Cup
Victoria vs Vorskla Poltava
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Victoria Compare
Top Goalscorer Shpyryonok A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Vorskla Poltava Compare
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Victoria 59 / 100
Vorskla Poltava 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Victoria Vorskla Poltava
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Victoria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Vorskla Poltava let in goals in 81% of their last 26 matches.
Attacking prowess: Victoria scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.
Recent resilience: Victoria stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
These sides typically produce 1.33 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Victoria VS Vorskla Poltava
1.25 Goals Scored 0.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Victoria
(Home) 09 Oct
Metalist Kharkiv
2 : 2 Victoria
03 Oct
Victoria
1 : 0 Inhulets
26 Sept
UCSA
0 : 0 Victoria
21 Sept
Victoria
1 : 3 Nyva Ternopil
14 Sept
Oleksandriya
1 : 0 Victoria
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03 Oct
Victoria
1 : 0 Inhulets
21 Sept
Victoria
1 : 3 Nyva Ternopil
09 Sept
Victoria
0 : 1 Metalist Kharkiv
05 Sept
Victoria
1 : 1 Zhytomyr 2
15 Aug
Victoria
2 : 1 Kulikiv
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Vorskla Poltava
(Away) 30 May
Vorskla Poltava
1 : 1 FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
23 May
Nyva Ternopil
1 : 1 Vorskla Poltava
17 May
Vorskla Poltava
1 : 1 Metalist Kharkiv
09 May
Bukovyna
6 : 0 Vorskla Poltava
03 May
Vorskla Poltava
0 : 1 Livyi Bereg
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23 May
Nyva Ternopil
1 : 1 Vorskla Poltava
09 May
Bukovyna
6 : 0 Vorskla Poltava
26 Apr
FC Chernihiv
1 : 2 Vorskla Poltava
12 Apr
Victoria
1 : 0 Vorskla Poltava
04 Apr
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
2 : 0 Vorskla Poltava
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Denhoff Denykhivka 3
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) 2
Dinaz Vyshgorod 0
Ahrobiznes Volochysk 3
Kolos Polonne 1
Naftovyk Dolyna 0
FC Kharkiv 2
Obolon 0
Lokomotyv Kyiv 3
Kolos Kovalivka 2
Korosten 0
Veres Rivne 4
Nyva Vinnytsya 3
UCSA 0
Hirnyk-Sport 1
Trostyanets 0
FC Chernihiv 1
Atlet Kiev 0
Kulikiv 0
Kryvbas 3
FC Vilkhivtsi 1
Olympia Savyntsi 2
Chaika Petropavlivska Borshchahivka 0
Lisne 4
Epitsentr 1
Ahrotekh Tyshkivka 2
Ch. Odesa 2
Zorya 1
Fazenda 0
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya 1
FC Uzhhorod 1
Fenix Mariupol 2
Metalist Kharkiv 2
Mayak Sarny 0
LNZ Cherkasy 1
Probiy Horodenka 0
Kormil Yavoriv 1
Rukh Lviv 2
TBD -
Polissya Zhytomyr -
Lozova 0
Bukovyna 3
Penuel Kryvyi Rih 0
Karpaty Lviv 8
Real Pharma Odesa 0
Nyva Ternopil 3
Iron 1
SC Poltava 5
Oleksandriya -
TBD -
TBD -
Dynamo Kyiv -
Polissya Stavky 3
Rebel Kyiv 0
TBD -
Shakhtar -
Livyi Bereg 1
Kudrivka 0
Victoria 1
Vorskla Poltava 0
Karbon Cherkasy 1
Inhulets 2
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi 1
Skala 1911 0
1/16-finals
Denhoff Denykhivka 0
Ahrobiznes Volochysk 2
Kolos Polonne 1
FC Kharkiv 4
Lokomotyv Kyiv 1
Veres Rivne 0
Nyva Vinnytsya 7
Hirnyk-Sport 0
FC Chernihiv 3
Kryvbas 0
Olympia Savyntsi 1
Lisne 2
Ahrotekh Tyshkivka 2
Ch. Odesa 1
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya 1
Fenix Mariupol 2
Metalist Kharkiv 0
LNZ Cherkasy 2
Rukh Lviv 3
Polissya Zhytomyr 0
Bukovyna 1
Karpaty Lviv 0
Nyva Ternopil 3
SC Poltava 0
Oleksandriya 1
Dynamo Kyiv 2
Polissya Stavky 0
Shakhtar 1
Livyi Bereg 0
Victoria 1
Inhulets 4
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi 1
1/8-finals
Ahrobiznes Volochysk 3
FC Kharkiv 4
Lokomotyv Kyiv 1
Nyva Vinnytsya 0
FC Chernihiv 2
Lisne 1
Ahrotekh Tyshkivka 1
Fenix Mariupol 2
LNZ Cherkasy 1
Rukh Lviv 0
Bukovyna 2
Nyva Ternopil 1
Dynamo Kyiv 2
Shakhtar 1
Victoria 0
Inhulets 1
Quarter-finals
FC Kharkiv 3
Lokomotyv Kyiv 0
FC Chernihiv 1
Fenix Mariupol 0
LNZ Cherkasy 0
Bukovyna 1
Dynamo Kyiv 2
Inhulets 0
Semi-finals
FC Kharkiv 0
FC Chernihiv 1
Bukovyna 0
Dynamo Kyiv 3
Final
FC Chernihiv 1
Dynamo Kyiv 3
