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Victoria Wrzesnia vs Elana Torun

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Victoria Wrzesnia play Elana Torun in the III Liga - Group II 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Victoria Wrzesnia averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. Elana Torun averaged 0.63 goals scored and 2.63 conceded. In past meetings, Victoria Wrzesnia won 1, Elana Torun won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 1, 2026 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.00 for Victoria Wrzesnia and 0.94 for Elana Torun. This points to a Elana Torun double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Victoria Wrzesnia
6%
Draws
4%
Elana Torun
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Victoria Wrzesnia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Victoria Wrzesnia demonstrates higher offensive output (1.38 avg goals) than Elana Torun (0.63 avg goals).
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Victoria Wrzesnia.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Victoria Wrzesnia Clean Sheet 20%
Elana Torun Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Victoria Wrzesnia Elana Torun
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 13 13
Draws 4 8
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.38 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.25 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Victoria Wrzesnia vs Elana Torun
3:2
Oct 11, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Elana Torun vs Victoria Wrzesnia
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Victoria Wrzesnia Compare

Top Goalscorer Gielda J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kaminski S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Elana Torun Compare

Top Goalscorer Frydrych M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Karbownik K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Victoria Wrzesnia 85 / 100
Elana Torun 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Victoria Wrzesnia Elana Torun

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WRZ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Victoria Wrzesnia scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Elana Torun let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Victoria Wrzesnia went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Elana Torun lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Victoria Wrzesnia VS Elana Torun
1.38 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zawisza34255473:2380
2Luzino34244679:3976
3Polonia Sroda Wielkopol34206867:4366
4Lipno Steszew341561347:5451
5Notec Czarnkow341471349:4649
6Lech Poznan II341471367:5449
7Elana Torun341471349:5549
8Swinoujscie341471348:5249
9Wda Swiecie341461444:6648
10Unia Swarzedz341381347:4147
11Kluczevia Stargard341371454:4346
12Blekitni Stargard341291356:5145
13Victoria Wrzesnia341331841:4642
14Pogon Szczecin II341251775:6641
15Nowe Skalmierzyce341091535:4639
16Cartusia Kartuzy341151838:5138
17Tluchowo34871937:6631
18Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal34362520:8415