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Victoria Wrzesnia vs Kotwica Kornik - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II
Our Tip

Match Events

55' Event
Dalek K.
85'
Weclawek M.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group II game between Victoria Wrzesnia and Kotwica Kornik finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Victoria Wrzesnia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Victoria Wrzesnia
35%
Draws
24%
Kotwica Kornik
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Victoria Wrzesnia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Kotwica Kornik haven't matched Victoria Wrzesnia's recent run of results.
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on Victoria Wrzesnia taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Victoria Wrzesnia Clean Sheet 10%
Kotwica Kornik Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Victoria Wrzesnia Kotwica Kornik
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 10
Draws 7 5
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.45 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.45 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Victoria Wrzesnia vs Kotwica Kornik
1:0
Jul 20, 2024 Club Friendly
Kotwica Kornik vs Victoria Wrzesnia
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Victoria Wrzesnia Compare

Top Goalscorer Dalek K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Kotwica Kornik Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Victoria Wrzesnia 83 / 100
Kotwica Kornik 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Victoria Wrzesnia Kotwica Kornik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Victoria Wrzesnia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kotwica Kornik has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Victoria Wrzesnia stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Victoria Wrzesnia's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Victoria Wrzesnia VS Kotwica Kornik
1 Goals Scored 2
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Victoria Wrzesnia

(Home)
10 Oct
Victoria Wrzesnia
1 : 0
Grom Nowy Staw
03 Oct
Gedania Gdansk
0 : 0
Victoria Wrzesnia
26 Sept
Victoria Wrzesnia
1 : 1
Lipno Steszew
19 Sept
Blekitni Stargard
1 : 1
Victoria Wrzesnia
12 Sept
Victoria Wrzesnia
2 : 2
Chemik Bydgoszcz
Page 1 of 6

Kotwica Kornik

(Away)
10 Oct
Kotwica Kornik
1 : 1
Notec Czarnkow
03 Oct
Unia Swarzedz
7 : 0
Kotwica Kornik
26 Sept
Kotwica Kornik
1 : 3
Grom Nowy Staw
19 Sept
Gedania Gdansk
6 : 1
Kotwica Kornik
12 Sept
Kotwica Kornik
4 : 1
Lipno Steszew
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 12 9 3 0 35:16 30
2 Luzino 12 9 1 2 34:13 28
3 Kluczevia Stargard 11 6 1 4 19:18 19
4 Blekitni Stargard 12 5 3 4 30:23 18
5 Lech Poznan II 10 5 3 2 21:17 18
6 Wda Swiecie 11 5 3 3 15:17 18
7 Notec Czarnkow 12 5 2 5 19:16 17
8 KKS Kalisz 12 4 5 3 18:19 17
9 Baltyk Koszalin 12 4 4 4 16:16 16
10 Unia Swarzedz 12 4 2 6 21:20 14
11 Gedania Gdansk 12 3 5 4 26:26 14
12 Swinoujscie 12 4 2 6 15:21 14
13 Grom Nowy Staw 12 4 1 7 28:29 13
14 Elana Torun 12 3 4 5 17:22 13
15 Chemik Bydgoszcz 12 2 6 4 19:24 12
16 Victoria Wrzesnia 12 2 5 5 12:23 11
17 Kotwica Kornik 12 3 2 7 19:33 11
18 Lipno Steszew 12 2 2 8 15:26 8
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)