Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Victoria Wrzesnia vs Lipno Steszew

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Kaczmarek D.
37' Event
Bartkowski J.
(Penalty)
58' Event
Wajman J.

AI Match Summary

Lipno Steszew in this III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lipno Steszew.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Victoria Wrzesnia
20%
Draws
38%
Lipno Steszew
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Victoria Wrzesnia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lipno Steszew lately — more wins on the board than Victoria Wrzesnia.
  • Win probability leans Victoria Wrzesnia's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Victoria Wrzesnia Clean Sheet 15%
Lipno Steszew Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Victoria Wrzesnia Lipno Steszew
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 15
Draws 4 4
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.63 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Victoria Wrzesnia vs Lipno Steszew
1:3
Nov 8, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Lipno Steszew vs Victoria Wrzesnia
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Victoria Wrzesnia Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Lipno Steszew Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaczmarek D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wajman J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Victoria Wrzesnia 41 / 100
Lipno Steszew 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Victoria Wrzesnia Lipno Steszew

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Victoria Wrzesnia scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Lipno Steszew let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Victoria Wrzesnia has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Victoria Wrzesnia VS Lipno Steszew
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Victoria Wrzesnia

(Home)
15 Jul
LZS Polonia Golina
3 : 2
Victoria Wrzesnia
08 Jul
Victoria Wrzesnia
4 : 0
Piast Kobylnica
30 May
Lech Poznan II
1 : 2
Victoria Wrzesnia
23 May
Victoria Wrzesnia
1 : 3
Lipno Steszew
16 May
Victoria Wrzesnia
2 : 1
Kluczevia Stargard
Page 1 of 6

Lipno Steszew

(Away)
18 Jul
Bytom Odrzanski
1 : 2
Lipno Steszew
15 Jul
Unia Swarzedz
3 : 0
Lipno Steszew
11 Jul
Lipno Steszew
3 : 0
Kotwica Kornik
04 Jul
Kleczew
0 : 1
Lipno Steszew
30 May
Lipno Steszew
4 : 3
Unia Swarzedz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zawisza34255473:2380
2Luzino34244679:3976
3Polonia Sroda Wielkopol34206867:4366
4Lipno Steszew341561347:5451
5Notec Czarnkow341471349:4649
6Lech Poznan II341471367:5449
7Elana Torun341471349:5549
8Swinoujscie341471348:5249
9Wda Swiecie341461444:6648
10Unia Swarzedz341381347:4147
11Kluczevia Stargard341371454:4346
12Blekitni Stargard341291356:5145
13Victoria Wrzesnia341331841:4642
14Pogon Szczecin II341251775:6641
15Nowe Skalmierzyce341091535:4639
16Cartusia Kartuzy341151838:5138
17Tluchowo34871937:6631
18Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal34362520:8415
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)