Sport Picks
Victoriano Arenas vs Mercedes
Argentina
Primera C Estadio Saturnino Moure, Avellaneda 
Match Events
41'
41'
Rivarola R.
AI Match Summary
Victoriano Arenas in this Primera C matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Victoriano Arenas.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
4%
6%
90%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Mercedes
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Mercedes lately — more wins on the board than Victoriano Arenas.
- 90% — that's where the model lands on Mercedes taking it.
- Regular Primera C form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Victoriano Arenas Clean Sheet 21%
Mercedes Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Victoriano Arenas | Mercedes |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 10 |
| Draws | 11 | 12 |
| Losses | 11 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 0.88 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.75 | 0.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.75 | 0.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 12, 2026 Primera C
Mercedes vs Victoriano Arenas
1:1
Mar 14, 2026 Primera C
Victoriano Arenas vs Mercedes
1:0
Nov 24, 2024 Primera C
Victoriano Arenas vs Mercedes
2:1
Jun 22, 2024 Primera C
Mercedes vs Victoriano Arenas
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Victoriano Arenas Compare
Top Goalscorer Rivarola R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Mercedes Compare
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Victoriano Arenas 10 / 100
Mercedes 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Victoriano Arenas Mercedes
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick MER Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 1.75 goals when they meet.
Victoriano Arenas went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Victoriano Arenas's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Mercedes let in goals in 50% of their last 30 matches.
Scoring Trends
Victoriano Arenas VS Mercedes
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Victoriano Arenas
(Home) 17 Jul
Deportivo Espanol
1 : 0 Victoriano Arenas
12 Jul
Mercedes
1 : 1 Victoriano Arenas
05 Jul
Victoriano Arenas
0 : 0 Deportivo Paraguayo
28 Jun
Puerto Nuevo
2 : 1 Victoriano Arenas
13 Jun
Leandro N. Alem
0 : 0 Victoriano Arenas
Page 1 of 6
05 Jul
Victoriano Arenas
0 : 0 Deportivo Paraguayo
07 Jun
Victoriano Arenas
1 : 0 Defensores de Cambaceres
25 May
Victoriano Arenas
1 : 0 Sacachispas
17 May
Victoriano Arenas
2 : 2 Canuelas
03 May
Victoriano Arenas
3 : 0 Estrella Del Sur
Page 1 of 3
Mercedes
(Away) 18 Jul
Mercedes
2 : 0 El Porvenir
12 Jul
Mercedes
1 : 1 Victoriano Arenas
06 Jul
CSR Espanol
0 : 3 Mercedes
27 Jun
Mercedes
5 : 0 Justo Jose de Urquiza
14 Jun
CA Lugano
1 : 0 Mercedes
Page 1 of 6
06 Jul
CSR Espanol
0 : 3 Mercedes
14 Jun
CA Lugano
1 : 0 Mercedes
30 May
Puerto Nuevo
1 : 1 Mercedes
18 May
Deportivo Espanol
1 : 0 Mercedes
08 May
Defensores de Cambaceres
2 : 1 Mercedes
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sacachispas | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 24:14 | 34 |
| 2 | Berazategui | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 23:14 | 32 |
| 3 | CSR Espanol | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 26:17 | 30 |
| 4 | Mercedes | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 21:11 | 29 |
| 5 | CA Lugano | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 24:19 | 29 |
| 6 | Puerto Nuevo | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 18:19 | 29 |
| 7 | Estrella Del Sur | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 21:17 | 28 |
| 8 | Victoriano Arenas | 20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 17:13 | 27 |
| 9 | Leandro N. Alem | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 24:33 | 26 |
| 10 | Juventud Unida San Miguel | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 18:19 | 22 |
| 11 | Defensores de Cambaceres | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 15:21 | 22 |
| 12 | Justo Jose de Urquiza | 20 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 9:18 | 19 |
| 13 | Argentino de Rosario | 20 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 19:26 | 17 |
| 14 | Deportivo Paraguayo | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 10:25 | 16 |
Promotion - Primera C (Super final)
Promotion - Primera C (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Torneo Promocional Amateur (Promotion)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Canuelas | 20 | 9 | 9 | 2 | 23:12 | 36 |
| 2 | Club Lujan | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 22:14 | 33 |
| 3 | Leones de Rosario | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 19:17 | 29 |
| 4 | Yupanqui | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 24:21 | 28 |
| 5 | Deportivo Espanol | 20 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 17:14 | 28 |
| 6 | General Lamadrid | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 18:20 | 28 |
| 7 | Sportivo Barracas | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 22:21 | 25 |
| 8 | El Porvenir | 20 | 4 | 13 | 3 | 15:15 | 25 |
| 9 | Atlas | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 16:17 | 25 |
| 10 | CSD Central Ballester | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 18:21 | 22 |
| 11 | Claypole | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 15:23 | 21 |
| 12 | Central Cordoba (Rosario) | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 12:15 | 20 |
| 13 | Fenix | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 13:21 | 20 |
| 14 | Deportivo Muniz | 20 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 14:20 | 18 |
Promotion - Primera C (Super final)
Promotion - Primera C (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Torneo Promocional Amateur (Promotion)