Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vidar vs Arendal

Norway Norway

Division 2 - Group 1 Alustar Arena (Lassa), Stavanger
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Nundal J.
17'
Sub
Nundal J. In: Dvergsdal T.
Out: Nundal J.
45' Event
Jensen H.

AI Match Summary

Arendal in this Division 2 - Group 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Arendal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Vidar
15%
Draws
59%
Arendal
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Arendal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Arendal lately — more wins on the board than Vidar.
  • 59% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Division 2 - Group 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 92%).
  • History favors Arendal here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 92%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Vidar Clean Sheet 10%
Arendal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vidar Arendal
Matches Played 32 27
Wins 5 10
Draws 6 6
Losses 21 11
Goals Scored 1.13 1.67
Goals Conceded 2.56 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Division 2 - Group 1
Vidar vs Arendal
1:3
Jul 25, 2026 Division 2 - Group 1
Arendal vs Vidar
4:0
Oct 19, 2019 Division 2 - Group 1
Arendal vs Vidar
1:0
May 16, 2019 Division 2 - Group 1
Vidar vs Arendal
0:1
Sep 15, 2018 Division 2 - Group 2
Arendal vs Vidar
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vidar Compare

Top Goalscorer Jensen H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Arendal Compare

Top Goalscorer Nundal J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Osterud A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.62
Avg xA / game 1.6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vidar 30 / 100
Arendal 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vidar Arendal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arendal Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Arendal conceded in 81% of 27 recent games.

Vidar's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Vidar has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Vidar VS Arendal
1.25 Goals Scored 2.5
3.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
88% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Vidar

(Home)
19 Sept
Sandviken
0 : 1
Vidar
12 Sept
Vidar
1 : 4
Bjarg
05 Sept
Sotra
3 : 0
Vidar
30 Aug
Traeff
2 : 2
Vidar
22 Aug
Madla IL
3 : 2
Vidar
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Arendal

(Away)
16 Sept
Arendal
1 : 2
Sandnes Ulf
13 Sept
Arendal
2 : 0
Kvik Halden
06 Sept
Bjarg
4 : 0
Arendal
30 Aug
Arendal
2 : 1
Lysekloster
22 Aug
Froland
1 : 5
Arendal
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jerv 20 15 3 2 43:18 48
2 Brattvag 20 12 3 5 41:24 39
3 Bjarg 20 12 2 6 42:26 38
4 Mjondalen 20 12 2 6 36:27 38
5 Sotra 20 11 3 6 42:20 36
6 Notodden 20 10 5 5 30:16 35
7 Kvik Halden 20 9 4 7 28:24 31
8 Traeff 20 8 6 6 36:36 30
9 Arendal 20 7 5 8 28:34 26
10 Pors 20 6 5 9 22:27 23
11 Sandviken 20 5 4 11 29:43 19
12 Lysekloster 20 3 5 12 21:42 14
13 Vidar 20 2 4 14 18:53 10
14 Eik-Tonsberg 20 2 1 17 21:47 7
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