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Vidir vs KFG Gardabaer

Iceland Iceland

Division 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Gudmundsson E.
9' Event
Biberdzic D.
49' Event
Briggs D.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 2025 game between Vidir and KFG Gardabaer finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Vidir
15%
Draws
59%
KFG Gardabaer
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: KFG Gardabaer

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • KFG Gardabaer's 1.91 goals per match outpaces what Vidir have produced (1.6).
  • Win probability leans KFG Gardabaer's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Vidir Clean Sheet 20%
KFG Gardabaer Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vidir KFG Gardabaer
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 10 10
Draws 5 5
Losses 15 18
Goals Scored 1.6 1.91
Goals Conceded 1.77 2.39
Expected Goals (xG) 2.04 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2026 Icelandic Cup
KFG Gardabaer vs Vidir
2:3
Aug 30, 2025 Division 2
Vidir vs KFG Gardabaer
2:2
Jun 20, 2025 Division 2
KFG Gardabaer vs Vidir
2:1
Sep 29, 2023 Fotbolti.net Cup
Vidir vs KFG Gardabaer
2:1
Jul 25, 2019 Division 2
KFG Gardabaer vs Vidir
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vidir Compare

Top Goalscorer Briggs D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hakonarson V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.57
Avg xA / game 1.02

KFG Gardabaer Compare

Top Goalscorer Gudmundsson E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Biberdzic D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vidir 10 / 100
KFG Gardabaer 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vidir KFG Gardabaer

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KFG Gardabaer Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vidir found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

KFG Gardabaer has conceded goals in 82% of their last 33 outings.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Vidir has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS KFG Gardabaer
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 2.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Vidir

(Home)
01 Apr
Fjolnir
2 : 1
Vidir
19 Mar
KFG Gardabaer
2 : 3
Vidir
13 Sept
Vidir
2 : 3
Aegir
06 Sept
KFA
2 : 0
Vidir
30 Aug
Vidir
2 : 2
KFG Gardabaer
Page 1 of 6

KFG Gardabaer

(Away)
05 Sept
KFG Gardabaer
4 : 1
Olafsvik
29 Aug
Dalvik/Reynir
2 : 0
KFG Gardabaer
22 Aug
KFG Gardabaer
4 : 0
Kormakur/Hvot
19 Aug
Hviti
0 : 5
KFG Gardabaer
15 Aug
KFG Gardabaer
3 : 4
KFA
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aegir 22 14 2 6 60:35 44
2 Grotta 22 13 5 4 47:25 44
3 Throttur Vogar 22 13 3 6 32:24 42
4 Kormakur/Hvot 22 11 2 9 35:37 35
5 Dalvik/Reynir 22 10 4 8 38:26 34
6 KFA 22 9 5 8 53:45 32
7 Haukar 22 9 4 9 36:40 31
8 Olafsvik 22 8 4 10 42:40 28
9 Kari 22 8 0 14 32:55 24
10 KFG Gardabaer 22 6 5 11 38:52 23
11 Vidir 22 5 5 12 33:41 20
12 Hottur / Huginn 22 4 5 13 27:53 17
Promotion - Division 1 (Main)