Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vieira vs Santa Maria FC

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional - Group A 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vieira play Santa Maria FC in the Campeonato Nacional - Group A 2014/2015. It looks like a close match. Recently, Vieira averaged 0.77 goals scored and 1.43 conceded. Santa Maria FC averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.27 conceded. In past meetings, Vieira won 1, Santa Maria FC won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 12, 2015 ended 5:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.94 for Vieira and 2.00 for Santa Maria FC. This points to a Santa Maria FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Vieira
35%
Draws
36%
Santa Maria FC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Santa Maria FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Vieira picked up more points recently compared to Santa Maria FC.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.94 vs 2.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 72%
Over 2.5 Goals 42%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
Vieira Clean Sheet 10%
Santa Maria FC Clean Sheet 16%
First Half Goal 65%
Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vieira Santa Maria FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 7
Draws 10 11
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 0.77 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2015 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Santa Maria FC vs Vieira
5:0
Feb 15, 2015 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Vieira vs Santa Maria FC
2:1
Jan 11, 2015 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Vieira vs Santa Maria FC
1:1
Nov 2, 2014 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Santa Maria FC vs Vieira
2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vieira 28 / 100
Santa Maria FC 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vieira Santa Maria FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Santa Maria FC or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +38%
4.76
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +16.8%
2.78
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Vieira attacking → ← attacking Santa Maria FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vieira scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Santa Maria FC let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Vieira went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Santa Maria FC lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

25 Points in last 5 32
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
2.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Vilaverdense FC1482428:1541
2GD Braganca1473419:1837
3SC Vianense1465320:1634
4Pedras Salgadas1454515:1632
5AD Limianos1455422:2027
6Cerveira1434718:2625
7Santa Maria FC1435621:2024
8Vieira1434713:2518