Sport Picks

Portugal

Taça de Portugal 2024/2025

Vieirense

1 - 4

Sertanense

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-4, with Sertanense advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Vieirense

20%

Draws

38%

Sertanense

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vieirense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence

Sertanense carry the better recent record into this one.
Model gives Vieirense a 42% chance of winning this.
Sertanense arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Sertanense, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%

Vieirense Clean Sheet 20%

Sertanense Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Vieirense	Sertanense
Matches Played	1	30
Wins	0	5
Draws	0	11
Losses	1	14
Goals Scored	0	0.38
Goals Conceded	0	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2024 Taça de Portugal

Vieirense vs Sertanense

1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vieirense 42 / 100

Sertanense 37 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Vieirense Sertanense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Vieirense scored in 100% of their last 1 outings.

Sertanense let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Sertanense lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Sertanense

0 Goals Scored 0.38

0 Goals Conceded 0.88

0% Over 1.5 50%

0% Over 2.5 0%

0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vieirense

(Home)

08 Sept

Vieirense

1 : 4

Sertanense

(Away)

13 Apr

SB Castelo Branco

1 : 0

Sertanense

06 Apr

Sertanense

3 : 1

Alcains

29 Mar

Os Marialvas

2 : 1

Sertanense

16 Mar

Sertanense

0 : 2

Mortagua FC

09 Mar

Arronches Benfica

1 : 0

Sertanense

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

Varzim -

TBD -

Ferreiras -

TBD -

Boavista -

Leca 2

AD Marco 09 3

TBD -

O Elvas CAD -

Academica 2

SB Castelo Branco 0

TBD -

Torreense -

GD Peniche -

TBD -

Pacos Ferreira -

TBD -

Vitoria Guimaraes -

Camacha -

TBD -

Leiria -

TBD -

Nacional -

Marinhense -

TBD -

Caldas SC 1

Uniao Da Serra 0

Tirsense -

TBD -

Vieira 2

Pedras Salgadas 0

Brito 2

FC Maia Lidador 1

Abrantes Benfica 0

Operario 2

Moura AC 1

Portel 0

TBD -

Castrense -

Covilha -

TBD -

Pedrogao Sao Pedro 1

SC Pombal 3

Moncarapachense 3

Grandolense 0

Louletano 3

Esperanca de Lagos 0

Os Marialvas -

TBD -

Tondela -

Rebordosa 3

Juventude Gaula 0

TBD -

GD Braganca -

CD Lajense -

TBD -

Maria de Fonte 2

Cardielense 1

TBD -

Arouca -

Fatima -

TBD -

Figueirense 0

Sanjoanense 5

TBD -

SC Farense -

Pevidem -

TBD -

Maritimo -

TBD -

Benfica -

Vila Cortez 2

Anadia 4

TBD -

CD Rabo Peixe -

TBD -

Estrela da Amadora -

Guarda FC 5

Estarreja 4

TBD -

Leixoes -

Alcains -

TBD -

C.F. Benfica 4

Industria 3

1º Dezembro -

TBD -

Oliveirense -

TBD -

Braga -

Lusitano GC -

TBD -

Academico Viseu -

TBD -

Estoril -

Ferreira do Zezere 2

Ac. Fundao 0

TBD -

Os Sandinenses -

TBD -

AFS -

CF Os Gavionenses 0

Arronches Benfica 3

SC Vila Real 1

GD Joane 0

Academica Coimbra SF -

TBD -

Atletico Arcos -

Viana Alentejo 1

CF Os Belenenses 2

TBD -

Trofense -

TBD -

Gil Vicente -

Santarem 2

Sacavenense 0

TBD -

Desportivo Moncao -

TBD -

Moreirense -

Sintrense -

TBD -

FC Madalena 0

Estrela Vendas Novas 2

TBD -

FC Porto -

SC Vianense 2

Vinhais 1

TBD -

Portimonense -

TBD -

Sporting CP -

Electrico FC -

TBD -

AD Fafe 1

Amarante FC 4

Lajense -

TBD -

Fabril do Barreiro -

Lagoa -

TBD -

Uniao de Coimbra 3

Beira Mar 2

TBD -

Famalicao -

Gondomar -

TBD -

Alianca de Gandra 2

SC Salgueiros 1

TBD -

Santa Clara -

Amora -

TBD -

FC Felgueiras -

TBD -

Casa Pia -

Valpacos 3

AD Limianos 5

TBD -

Chaves -

Lusitania FC 2

Uniao Lamas 1

TBD -

Vizela -

Coimbroes -

TBD -

Alverca -

Pero Pinheiro -

TBD -

Feirense -

Atletico CP -

TBD -

Oliveira de Frades 0

Mortagua FC 3

TBD -

Rio Ave -

Oliveira Hospital -

TBD -

Machico 3

Macedo de Cavaleiros 0

Montijo -

TBD -

Mafra -

FC Alpendorada -

TBD -

Vieirense 1

Sertanense 4

Cinfaes 3

GD Resende 0

TBD -

FC Barreirense -

Tocha -

TBD -

Penafiel -

Sao Roque 1

SC Lusitania 2

Velense 1

Regua 2

UD Ovarense 1

Sao Joao de Ver 2

Praia Milfontes 0

Serpa 5

Paredes -

TBD -

Dumiense 2

Vilaverdense FC 3

1/64-finals

Varzim 3

Ferreiras 0

TBD -

Boavista -

AD Marco 09 0

O Elvas CAD 1

Academica 0

Torreense 1

GD Peniche 0

Pacos Ferreira 2

TBD -

Vitoria Guimaraes -

Camacha 0

Leiria 2

TBD -

Nacional -

Marinhense 0

Caldas SC 1

Tirsense 2

Vieira 0

Brito 1

Operario 0

Moura AC 4

Castrense 2

Covilha 4

SC Pombal 0

Moncarapachense 2

Louletano 1

Os Marialvas 2

Tondela 1

Rebordosa 2

GD Braganca 1

CD Lajense 0

Maria de Fonte 1

TBD -

Arouca -

Fatima 0

Sanjoanense 1

TBD -

SC Farense -

Pevidem 2

Maritimo 1

TBD -

Benfica -

Anadia 3

CD Rabo Peixe 0

TBD -

Estrela da Amadora -

Guarda FC 0

Leixoes 1

Alcains 4

C.F. Benfica 1

1º Dezembro 2

Oliveirense 1

TBD -

Braga -

Lusitano GC 2

Academico Viseu 1

TBD -

Estoril -

Ferreira do Zezere 1

Os Sandinenses 2

TBD -

AFS -

Arronches Benfica 0

SC Vila Real 1

Academica Coimbra SF 1

Atletico Arcos 2

CF Os Belenenses 3

Trofense 0

TBD -

Gil Vicente -

Santarem 2

Desportivo Moncao 1

TBD -

Moreirense -

Sintrense 2

Estrela Vendas Novas 1

TBD -

FC Porto -

SC Vianense 1

Portimonense 3

TBD -

Sporting CP -

Electrico FC 0

Amarante FC 2

Lajense 2

Fabril do Barreiro 1

Lagoa 2

Uniao de Coimbra 0

TBD -

Famalicao -

Gondomar 1

Alianca de Gandra 0

TBD -

Santa Clara -

Amora 1

FC Felgueiras 0

TBD -

Casa Pia -

AD Limianos 0

Chaves 2

Lusitania FC 4

Vizela 3

Coimbroes 2

Alverca 3

Pero Pinheiro 1

Feirense 0

Atletico CP 3

Mortagua FC 0

TBD -

Rio Ave -

Oliveira Hospital 2

Machico 0

Montijo 1

Mafra 2

FC Alpendorada 3

Sertanense 0

Cinfaes 3

FC Barreirense 2

Tocha 1

Penafiel 4

SC Lusitania 2

Regua 1

Sao Joao de Ver 1

Serpa 0

Paredes 3

Vilaverdense FC 2

1/32-finals

Varzim 1

Boavista 0

O Elvas CAD 3

Torreense 2

Pacos Ferreira 1

Vitoria Guimaraes 3

Leiria 2

Nacional 1

Caldas SC 1

Tirsense 2

Brito 1

Moura AC 0

Covilha 3

Moncarapachense 2

Os Marialvas 1

Rebordosa 2

Maria de Fonte 0

Arouca 5

Sanjoanense 2

SC Farense 4

Pevidem 0

Benfica 2

Anadia 1

Estrela da Amadora 3

Leixoes 2

Alcains 1

1º Dezembro 1

Braga 2

Lusitano GC 1

Estoril 0

Os Sandinenses 0

AFS 2

SC Vila Real 2

Atletico Arcos 0

CF Os Belenenses 0

Gil Vicente 2

Santarem 1

Moreirense 2

Sintrense 0

FC Porto 3

Portimonense 1

Sporting CP 2

Amarante FC 6

Lajense 1

Lagoa 0

Famalicao 2

Gondomar 0

Santa Clara 1

Amora 0

Casa Pia 5

Chaves 2

Lusitania FC 0

Alverca 3

Pero Pinheiro 0

Atletico CP 1

Rio Ave 3

Oliveira Hospital 1

Mafra 0

FC Alpendorada 1

Cinfaes 2

Penafiel 2

SC Lusitania 3

Sao Joao de Ver 4

Paredes 1

1/16-finals

Varzim 1

O Elvas CAD 2

Vitoria Guimaraes 2

Leiria 0

Tirsense 1

Brito 0

Covilha 2

Rebordosa 3

Arouca 1

SC Farense 2

Benfica 7

Estrela da Amadora 0

Leixoes 0

Braga 2

Lusitano GC 3

AFS 2

SC Vila Real 0

Gil Vicente 2

Moreirense 2

FC Porto 1

Sporting CP 6

Amarante FC 0

Famalicao 0

Santa Clara 1

Casa Pia 3

Chaves 0

Alverca 2

Rio Ave 3

Oliveira Hospital 4

Cinfaes 2

SC Lusitania 0

Sao Joao de Ver 2

1/8-finals

O Elvas CAD 2

Vitoria Guimaraes 1

Tirsense 1

Rebordosa 0

SC Farense 1

Benfica 3

Braga 2

Lusitano GC 1

Gil Vicente 1

Moreirense 0

Sporting CP 2

Santa Clara 1

Casa Pia 1

Rio Ave 3

Oliveira Hospital 1

Sao Joao de Ver 3

Quarter-finals

O Elvas CAD 0

Tirsense 2

Benfica 1

Braga 0

Gil Vicente 0

Sporting CP 1

Rio Ave 2

Sao Joao de Ver 1

Semi-finals

Tirsense 0

Benfica 9

Sporting CP 4

Rio Ave 1

Final

Benfica 1

Sporting CP 3

Vieirense vs Sertanense

Portugal

Vieirense

Sertanense

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Vieirense

Sertanense

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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