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Vieirense vs Sertanense Prediction & H2H Stats

Portugal Portugal

Taça de Portugal 2024/2025
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AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-4, with Sertanense advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Vieirense
25%
Draws
35%
Sertanense
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Vieirense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Sertanense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Vieirense a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Sertanense arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Sertanense, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Vieirense Clean Sheet 20%
Sertanense Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vieirense Sertanense
Matches Played 1 30
Wins 0 5
Draws 0 11
Losses 1 14
Goals Scored 1 0.8
Goals Conceded 4 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2024 Taça de Portugal
Vieirense vs Sertanense
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vieirense 40 / 100
Sertanense 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vieirense Sertanense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vieirense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Vieirense scored in 100% of their last 1 outings.

Sertanense let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Sertanense lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Sertanense
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vieirense

(Home)
08 Sept
Vieirense
1 : 4
Sertanense

Sertanense

(Away)
27 Sept
O Elvas CAD
2 : 0
Sertanense
13 Sept
Sertanense
1 : 1
Malveira
30 Aug
Alcains
1 : 0
Sertanense
23 Aug
Sertanense
1 : 3
Mortagua FC
16 Aug
Nogueirense
1 : 1
Sertanense
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Varzim -
TBD -
TBD -
Ferreiras -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Boavista -
Leca 2
AD Marco 09 3
TBD -
O Elvas CAD -
Academica 2
SB Castelo Branco 0
TBD -
Torreense -
GD Peniche -
TBD -
TBD -
Pacos Ferreira -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vitoria Guimaraes -
Camacha -
TBD -
TBD -
Leiria -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nacional -
Marinhense -
TBD -
Caldas SC 1
Uniao Da Serra 0
Tirsense -
TBD -
Vieira 2
Pedras Salgadas 0
Brito 2
Maia Lidador 1
Abrantes Benfica 0
Operario 2
Moura AC 1
Portel 0
TBD -
Castrense -
Covilha -
TBD -
Pedrogao Sao Pedro 1
SC Pombal 3
Moncarapachense 3
Grandolense 0
Louletano 3
Esperanca de Lagos 0
Os Marialvas -
TBD -
TBD -
Tondela -
Rebordosa 3
Juventude Gaula 0
TBD -
GD Braganca -
CD Lajense -
TBD -
Maria de Fonte 2
Cardielense 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arouca -
Fatima -
TBD -
Figueirense 0
Sanjoanense 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
SC Farense -
Pevidem -
TBD -
TBD -
Maritimo -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Benfica -
Vila Cortez 2
Anadia 4
TBD -
CD Rabo Peixe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Estrela da Amadora -
Guarda FC 5
Estarreja 4
TBD -
Leixoes -
Alcains -
TBD -
C.F. Benfica 4
Industria 3
1º Dezembro -
TBD -
TBD -
Oliveirense -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Braga -
Lusitano GC -
TBD -
TBD -
Academico Viseu -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Estoril -
Ferreira do Zezere 2
Ac. Fundao 0
TBD -
Os Sandinenses -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AFS -
CF Os Gavionenses 0
Arronches Benfica 3
SC Vila Real 1
GD Joane 0
Academica Coimbra SF -
TBD -
TBD -
Atletico Arcos -
Viana Alentejo 1
CF Os Belenenses 2
TBD -
Trofense -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gil Vicente -
Santarem 2
Sacavenense 0
TBD -
Desportivo Moncao -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Moreirense -
Sintrense -
TBD -
FC Madalena 0
Estrela Vendas Novas 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Porto -
SC Vianense 2
Vinhais 1
TBD -
Portimonense -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sporting CP -
Electrico FC -
TBD -
AD Fafe 1
Amarante FC 4
Lajense -
TBD -
TBD -
Fabril do Barreiro -
Lagoa -
TBD -
Uniao de Coimbra 3
Beira Mar 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Famalicao -
Gondomar -
TBD -
Alianca de Gandra 2
SC Salgueiros 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Santa Clara -
Amora -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Felgueiras -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Casa Pia -
Valpacos 3
AD Limianos 5
TBD -
Chaves -
Lusitania FC 2
Uniao Lamas 1
TBD -
Vizela -
Coimbroes -
TBD -
TBD -
Alverca -
Pero Pinheiro -
TBD -
TBD -
Feirense -
Atletico CP -
TBD -
Oliveira de Frades 0
Mortagua FC 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rio Ave -
Oliveira Hospital -
TBD -
Machico 3
Macedo de Cavaleiros 0
Montijo -
TBD -
TBD -
Mafra -
FC Alpendorada -
TBD -
Vieirense 1
Sertanense 4
Cinfaes 3
GD Resende 0
TBD -
FC Barreirense -
Tocha -
TBD -
TBD -
Penafiel -
Sao Roque 1
SC Lusitania 2
Velense 1
Regua 2
UD Ovarense 1
Sao Joao de Ver 2
Praia Milfontes 0
Serpa 5
Paredes -
TBD -
Dumiense 2
Vilaverdense FC 3
1/64-finals
Varzim 3
Ferreiras 0
TBD -
Boavista -
AD Marco 09 0
O Elvas CAD 1
Academica 0
Torreense 1
GD Peniche 0
Pacos Ferreira 2
TBD -
Vitoria Guimaraes -
Camacha 0
Leiria 2
TBD -
Nacional -
Marinhense 0
Caldas SC 1
Tirsense 2
Vieira 0
Brito 1
Operario 0
Moura AC 4
Castrense 2
Covilha 4
SC Pombal 0
Moncarapachense 2
Louletano 1
Os Marialvas 2
Tondela 1
Rebordosa 2
GD Braganca 1
CD Lajense 0
Maria de Fonte 1
TBD -
Arouca -
Fatima 0
Sanjoanense 1
TBD -
SC Farense -
Pevidem 2
Maritimo 1
TBD -
Benfica -
Anadia 3
CD Rabo Peixe 0
TBD -
Estrela da Amadora -
Guarda FC 0
Leixoes 1
Alcains 4
C.F. Benfica 1
1º Dezembro 2
Oliveirense 1
TBD -
Braga -
Lusitano GC 2
Academico Viseu 1
TBD -
Estoril -
Ferreira do Zezere 1
Os Sandinenses 2
TBD -
AFS -
Arronches Benfica 0
SC Vila Real 1
Academica Coimbra SF 1
Atletico Arcos 2
CF Os Belenenses 3
Trofense 0
TBD -
Gil Vicente -
Santarem 2
Desportivo Moncao 1
TBD -
Moreirense -
Sintrense 2
Estrela Vendas Novas 1
TBD -
FC Porto -
SC Vianense 1
Portimonense 3
TBD -
Sporting CP -
Electrico FC 0
Amarante FC 2
Lajense 2
Fabril do Barreiro 1
Lagoa 2
Uniao de Coimbra 0
TBD -
Famalicao -
Gondomar 1
Alianca de Gandra 0
TBD -
Santa Clara -
Amora 1
FC Felgueiras 0
TBD -
Casa Pia -
AD Limianos 0
Chaves 2
Lusitania FC 4
Vizela 3
Coimbroes 2
Alverca 3
Pero Pinheiro 1
Feirense 0
Atletico CP 3
Mortagua FC 0
TBD -
Rio Ave -
Oliveira Hospital 2
Machico 0
Montijo 1
Mafra 2
FC Alpendorada 3
Sertanense 0
Cinfaes 3
FC Barreirense 2
Tocha 1
Penafiel 4
SC Lusitania 2
Regua 1
Sao Joao de Ver 1
Serpa 0
Paredes 3
Vilaverdense FC 2
1/32-finals
Varzim 1
Boavista 0
O Elvas CAD 3
Torreense 2
Pacos Ferreira 1
Vitoria Guimaraes 3
Leiria 2
Nacional 1
Caldas SC 1
Tirsense 2
Brito 1
Moura AC 0
Covilha 3
Moncarapachense 2
Os Marialvas 1
Rebordosa 2
Maria de Fonte 0
Arouca 5
Sanjoanense 2
SC Farense 4
Pevidem 0
Benfica 2
Anadia 1
Estrela da Amadora 3
Leixoes 2
Alcains 1
1º Dezembro 1
Braga 2
Lusitano GC 1
Estoril 0
Os Sandinenses 0
AFS 2
SC Vila Real 2
Atletico Arcos 0
CF Os Belenenses 0
Gil Vicente 2
Santarem 1
Moreirense 2
Sintrense 0
FC Porto 3
Portimonense 1
Sporting CP 2
Amarante FC 6
Lajense 1
Lagoa 0
Famalicao 2
Gondomar 0
Santa Clara 1
Amora 0
Casa Pia 5
Chaves 2
Lusitania FC 0
Alverca 3
Pero Pinheiro 0
Atletico CP 1
Rio Ave 3
Oliveira Hospital 1
Mafra 0
FC Alpendorada 1
Cinfaes 2
Penafiel 2
SC Lusitania 3
Sao Joao de Ver 4
Paredes 1
1/16-finals
Varzim 1
O Elvas CAD 2
Vitoria Guimaraes 2
Leiria 0
Tirsense 1
Brito 0
Covilha 2
Rebordosa 3
Arouca 1
SC Farense 2
Benfica 7
Estrela da Amadora 0
Leixoes 0
Braga 2
Lusitano GC 3
AFS 2
SC Vila Real 0
Gil Vicente 2
Moreirense 2
FC Porto 1
Sporting CP 6
Amarante FC 0
Famalicao 0
Santa Clara 1
Casa Pia 3
Chaves 0
Alverca 2
Rio Ave 3
Oliveira Hospital 4
Cinfaes 2
SC Lusitania 0
Sao Joao de Ver 2
1/8-finals
O Elvas CAD 2
Vitoria Guimaraes 1
Tirsense 1
Rebordosa 0
SC Farense 1
Benfica 3
Braga 2
Lusitano GC 1
Gil Vicente 1
Moreirense 0
Sporting CP 2
Santa Clara 1
Casa Pia 1
Rio Ave 3
Oliveira Hospital 1
Sao Joao de Ver 3
Quarter-finals
O Elvas CAD 0
Tirsense 2
Benfica 1
Braga 0
Gil Vicente 0
Sporting CP 1
Rio Ave 2
Sao Joao de Ver 1
Semi-finals
Tirsense 0
Benfica 9
Sporting CP 4
Rio Ave 1
Final
Benfica 1
Sporting CP 3