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Stadium Background

Vietnam U22 vs Indonesia U22

Asia Asia

AFF Championship U22 2019
Our Tip

Match Events

70' Event
Kamal L.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Indonesia U22 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Vietnam U22
15%
Draws
42%
Indonesia U22
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vietnam U22

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Vietnam U22 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Indonesia U22's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Vietnam U22 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Indonesia U22, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 80.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Vietnam U22 Clean Sheet 10%
Indonesia U22 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vietnam U22 Indonesia U22
Matches Played 29 18
Wins 16 13
Draws 5 2
Losses 8 3
Goals Scored 1.79 2.17
Goals Conceded 0.93 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2023 Southeast Asian Games
Indonesia U22 vs Vietnam U22
3:2
Feb 24, 2019 ASEAN Championship U23
Vietnam U22 vs Indonesia U22
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vietnam U22 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Indonesia U22 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kamal L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vietnam U22 26 / 100
Indonesia U22 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vietnam U22 Indonesia U22

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Indonesia U22 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vietnam U22 scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Indonesia U22 conceded in 61% of 18 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Vietnam U22 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vietnam U22 VS Indonesia U22
1.38 Goals Scored 3
1 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 86%
38% Over 2.5 86%
25% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

Vietnam U22

(Home)
18 Dec
Thailand U22
2 : 3
Vietnam U22
15 Dec
Vietnam U22
2 : 0
Philippines U22
11 Dec
Vietnam U22
2 : 0
Malaysia U22
03 Dec
Laos U22
1 : 2
Vietnam U22
18 Nov
Vietnam U22
0 : 1
South Korea U22
Page 1 of 6

Indonesia U22

(Away)
12 Dec
Indonesia U22
3 : 1
Myanmar U22
08 Dec
Philippines U22
1 : 0
Indonesia U22
16 May
Indonesia U22
5 : 2
Thailand U22
13 May
Indonesia U22
3 : 2
Vietnam U22
10 May
Cambodia U22
1 : 2
Indonesia U22
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Vietnam U22 0
Indonesia U22 1
Cambodia U22 0
Thailand U22 1
Final
Indonesia U22 2
Thailand U22 1
Vietnam U22 1
Cambodia U22 0