Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vietnam U22 vs Malaysia U22 Prediction & H2H Stats

Asia Asia

Southeast Asian Games
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Nguyen Hieu Minh
22' Event
Pham Minh Phuc

AI Match Summary

The Southeast Asian Games game between Vietnam U22 and Malaysia U22 finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vietnam U22.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Vietnam U22
15%
Draws
36%
Malaysia U22
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vietnam U22

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vietnam U22 come out ahead of Malaysia U22 on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Southeast Asian Games form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Vietnam U22 have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Vietnam U22 Clean Sheet 13%
Malaysia U22 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vietnam U22 Malaysia U22
Matches Played 29 19
Wins 16 11
Draws 5 1
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.79 2.47
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 11, 2025 Southeast Asian Games
Vietnam U22 vs Malaysia U22
2:0
May 8, 2023 Southeast Asian Games
Malaysia U22 vs Vietnam U22
1:2
Jun 30, 2012 AFC Asian Cup U23
Vietnam U22 vs Malaysia U22
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vietnam U22 Compare

Top Goalscorer Nguyen Hieu Minh
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pham Minh Phuc
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Malaysia U22 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vietnam U22 35 / 100
Malaysia U22 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vietnam U22 Malaysia U22

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Malaysia U22 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Vietnam U22 scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Malaysia U22 conceded in 74% of 19 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.67 goals as a typical output.

Vietnam U22 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vietnam U22 VS Malaysia U22
1.38 Goals Scored 2.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Vietnam U22

(Home)
18 Dec
Thailand U22
2 : 3
Vietnam U22
15 Dec
Vietnam U22
2 : 0
Philippines U22
11 Dec
Vietnam U22
2 : 0
Malaysia U22
03 Dec
Laos U22
1 : 2
Vietnam U22
18 Nov
Vietnam U22
0 : 1
South Korea U22
Page 1 of 6

Malaysia U22

(Away)
18 Dec
Philippines U22
1 : 2
Malaysia U22
15 Dec
Thailand U22
1 : 0
Malaysia U22
11 Dec
Vietnam U22
2 : 0
Malaysia U22
06 Dec
Malaysia U22
4 : 1
Laos U22
11 May
Singapore U22
0 : 7
Malaysia U22
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thailand U22 2 2 0 0 9:1 6
2 Timor-Leste U22 2 1 0 1 4:7 3
3 Singapore U22 2 0 0 2 1:6 0
Promotion - Southeast Asian Games (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vietnam U22 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
2 Malaysia U22 2 1 0 1 4:3 3
3 Laos U22 2 0 0 2 2:6 0
Promotion - Southeast Asian Games (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Philippines U22 2 2 0 0 3:0 6
2 Indonesia U22 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
3 Myanmar U22 2 0 0 2 1:5 0
Promotion - Southeast Asian Games (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams