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Vietnam U23 vs Indonesia U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

ASEAN Championship U23 Madya Stadium, Jakarta
Vietnam U23 Logo

Vietnam U23

1 - 0
FT
Indonesia U23 Logo

Indonesia U23

Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Hannan R.
14'
Arel K.
32'
Pham Ly Duc
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Vietnam U23
30%
Draws
23%
Indonesia U23
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vietnam U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

23% / Low Confidence
  • Vietnam U23 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Indonesia U23's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Vietnam U23 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Vietnam U23, who have won 4 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Vietnam U23 have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24%
Vietnam U23 Clean Sheet 19%
Indonesia U23 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vietnam U23 Indonesia U23
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 17 13
Draws 3 4
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.19 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.03 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 29, 2025 ASEAN Championship U23
Vietnam U23 vs Indonesia U23
1:0
Aug 26, 2023 ASEAN Championship U23
Vietnam U23 vs Indonesia U23
1:0
May 6, 2022 Southeast Asian Games
Vietnam U23 vs Indonesia U23
3:0
Dec 10, 2019 Southeast Asian Games
Indonesia U23 vs Vietnam U23
0:3
Dec 1, 2019 Southeast Asian Games
Vietnam U23 vs Indonesia U23
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vietnam U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Nguyen Cong Phuong
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Indonesia U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vietnam U23 24 / 100
Indonesia U23 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vietnam U23 Indonesia U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Indonesia U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vietnam U23's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Indonesia U23 let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Indonesia U23 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vietnam U23 VS Indonesia U23
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Vietnam U23

(Home)
25 Sept
South Korea U23
4 : 0
Vietnam U23
22 Sept
Vietnam U23
0 : 2
Uzbekistan U23
18 Sept
Philippines U23
0 : 2
Vietnam U23
15 Sept
Vietnam U23
1 : 1
Kuwait U23
31 Mar
China U23
1 : 0
Vietnam U23
Page 1 of 7

Indonesia U23

(Away)
18 Nov
Indonesia U23
2 : 2
Mali U23
15 Nov
Indonesia U23
0 : 3
Mali U23
13 Oct
Indonesia U23
1 : 1
India U23
10 Oct
Indonesia U23
1 : 2
India U23
09 Sept
South Korea U23
1 : 0
Indonesia U23
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Vietnam U23 2
Philippines U23 1
Indonesia U23 2
Thailand U23 1
Final
Vietnam U23 1
Indonesia U23 0
Philippines U23 1
Thailand U23 3