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Vietnam W vs Japan W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

Asian Games Women Shizuoka Stadium Ecopa, Shizuoka
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Kamiya C.
Assist: Shiokoshi Y.
19' Event
Shiokoshi Y.
Assist: Ito J.
43' Event
Cu Thi H.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The Asian Games Women game between Vietnam W and Japan W finished 0-8, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Japan W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

5%
Vietnam W
15%
Draws
80%
Japan W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Japan W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Japan W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Japan W a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Japan W have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.2%
Vietnam W Clean Sheet 10%
Japan W Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vietnam W Japan W
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 16 21
Draws 1 4
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 2.1 2.97
Goals Conceded 1.45 0.78
Expected Goals (xG) 0.60 2.42
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2026 Asian Games Women
Vietnam W vs Japan W
0:8
Mar 10, 2026 Asian Cup Women
Japan W vs Vietnam W
4:0
Nov 1, 2023 Olympic Games Women
Japan W vs Vietnam W
2:0
Sep 28, 2023 Asian Games Women
Japan W vs Vietnam W
7:0
Jan 24, 2022 Asian Cup Women
Vietnam W vs Japan W
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vietnam W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.46
Avg xA / game 0.3

Japan W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kamiya C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Shiokoshi Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.2
Avg xA / game 1.34

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vietnam W 10 / 100
Japan W 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vietnam W Japan W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Japan W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.80 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Vietnam W scored in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Defensive concern: Japan W conceded in 47% of 32 recent games.

Recent resilience: Vietnam W stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vietnam W VS Japan W
0.33 Goals Scored 2.5
2.33 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
17% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Vietnam W

(Home)
25 Sept
China W
1 : 0
Vietnam W
21 Sept
Vietnam W
0 : 0
Thailand W
17 Sept
Vietnam W
0 : 8
Japan W
14 Sept
Chinese Taipei W
2 : 1
Vietnam W
09 Sept
China W
3 : 0
Vietnam W
Page 1 of 7

Japan W

(Away)
09 Oct
Haiti W
1 : 5
Japan W
02 Oct
North Korea W
2 : 3
Japan W
29 Sept
Japan W
2 : 0
South Korea W
25 Sept
Japan W
4 : 0
Philippines W
21 Sept
Japan W
4 : 0
Chinese Taipei W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan W 3 3 0 0 20:0 9
2 Chinese Taipei W 3 2 0 1 3:5 6
3 Vietnam W 3 0 1 2 1:10 1
4 Thailand W 3 0 1 2 0:9 1
Promotion - Asian Games Women (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North Korea W 3 2 1 0 19:1 7
2 South Korea W 3 2 1 0 12:1 7
3 Myanmar W 3 0 1 2 0:13 1
4 Bangladesh W 3 0 1 2 0:16 1
Promotion - Asian Games Women (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 China W 3 2 1 0 11:3 7
2 Uzbekistan W 3 1 2 0 4:3 5
3 Philippines W 3 1 1 1 4:6 4
4 Hong Kong W 3 0 0 3 2:9 0
Promotion - Asian Games Women (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams