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Stadium Background

Vietnam W vs Thailand W

Asia Asia

ASEAN Championship Women 2025 Lạch Tray Stadium, Haiphong
Our Tip

Match Events

34'
Kaewanta N.
44'
Tran Thi T.
45' Event
Pham Hai Yen
Assist: Nguyen Thi B.

AI Match Summary

Vietnam W in this ASEAN Championship Women 2025 tie, finishing 3-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Vietnam W
6%
Draws
90%
Thailand W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Thailand W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Vietnam W average 2.13 goals a game right now, well clear of Thailand W's 1.63.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Thailand W taking it.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Vietnam W, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Vietnam W here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.6%
Vietnam W Clean Sheet 16%
Thailand W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vietnam W Thailand W
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 17 17
Draws 0 3
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 2.13 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2025 ASEAN Championship Women
Vietnam W vs Thailand W
3:1
Aug 12, 2025 ASEAN Championship Women
Vietnam W vs Thailand W
1:0
May 21, 2022 Southeast Asian Games Women
Vietnam W vs Thailand W
1:0
Feb 2, 2022 Asian Cup Women
Thailand W vs Vietnam W
0:2
Dec 8, 2019 Southeast Asian Games Women
Thailand W vs Vietnam W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vietnam W Compare

Top Goalscorer Pham Hai Yen
1 Goals
Assists Leader Huynh Nhu
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Thailand W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kwaenkasikarm W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vietnam W 10 / 100
Thailand W 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vietnam W Thailand W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick THA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vietnam W scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Thailand W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Vietnam W stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vietnam W VS Thailand W
2.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Vietnam W

(Home)
10 Mar
Japan W
4 : 0
Vietnam W
07 Mar
Chinese Taipei W
1 : 0
Vietnam W
04 Mar
Vietnam W
2 : 1
India W
13 Feb
China W
6 : 1
Vietnam W
10 Feb
China W
2 : 0
Vietnam W
Page 1 of 7

Thailand W

(Away)
09 Jun
Myanmar W
1 : 1
Thailand W
06 Jun
Thailand W
1 : 0
Uzbekistan W
15 Apr
Thailand W
2 : 0
D.R. Congo W
12 Apr
Thailand W
4 : 0
New Caledonia W
17 Dec
Indonesia W
0 : 2
Thailand W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Vietnam W1
Australia U23 W2
Myanmar W2
Thailand W1
Final
Australia U23 W1
Myanmar W0
Vietnam W3
Thailand W1