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Vigasio vs Adriese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Rao A.
50' Event
Zanchetta F.
(Penalty)
63' Event
Ferchichi H.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Vigasio
15%
Draws
0%
Adriese
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vigasio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Vigasio have won more games recently than Adriese.
  • Vigasio are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Vigasio Clean Sheet 68%
Adriese Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vigasio Adriese
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 5
Draws 11 4
Losses 13 21
Goals Scored 1.33 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Serie D - Group C
Vigasio vs Adriese
2:2
Nov 9, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Adriese vs Vigasio
3:2
Mar 22, 2020 Serie D - Group C
Vigasio vs Adriese
0:0
Nov 10, 2019 Serie D - Group C
Adriese vs Vigasio
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vigasio Compare

Top Goalscorer Rao A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ferchichi H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Adriese Compare

Top Goalscorer Cescon A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vigasio 95 / 100
Adriese 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vigasio Adriese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vigasio Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Adriese conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.25 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Adriese registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Vigasio scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Vigasio VS Adriese
1.5 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Vigasio

(Home)
17 May
Vigasio
2 : 3
FC Obermais
03 May
Vigasio
1 : 4
Legnago Salus
26 Apr
Luparense FC
1 : 0
Vigasio
19 Apr
Vigasio
1 : 3
Brian Lignano
12 Apr
Clodiense
0 : 1
Vigasio
Page 1 of 6

Adriese

(Away)
03 May
Adriese
0 : 4
Brian Lignano
26 Apr
Clodiense
2 : 1
Adriese
19 Apr
Adriese
0 : 1
Campodarsego
11 Apr
Calvi Noale
2 : 0
Adriese
02 Apr
Adriese
0 : 2
Cjarlins Muzane
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Treviso 34 21 6 7 50:25 69
2 Legnago Salus 34 18 7 9 63:41 61
3 Clodiense 34 17 9 8 47:29 60
4 Este 34 14 13 7 40:29 55
5 Mestre 34 14 13 7 37:29 55
6 Cjarlins Muzane 34 13 12 9 41:39 51
7 Brian Lignano 34 16 8 10 58:34 50
8 Conegliano 34 13 11 10 36:28 50
9 Bassano Virtus 34 12 14 8 37:27 50
10 Campodarsego 34 13 9 12 37:34 48
11 Altavilla 34 10 16 8 28:24 46
12 Calvi Noale 34 13 5 16 38:40 44
13 Luparense FC 34 10 13 11 36:39 43
14 Vigasio 34 8 14 12 44:46 38
15 San Luigi 34 8 10 16 33:54 34
16 FC Obermais 34 8 10 16 33:46 34
17 Adriese 34 5 6 23 24:62 18
18 Portogruaro 34 1 8 25 25:81 11
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Additional match)