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Vigasio vs Treviso

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Beltrame P.
45' Event
Gucher R.
55' Event
Scotto L.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 game between Vigasio and Treviso finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Treviso.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Vigasio
15%
Draws
21%
Treviso
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vigasio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Treviso come out ahead of Vigasio on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Vigasio's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Vigasio Clean Sheet 68%
Treviso Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vigasio Treviso
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 15
Draws 11 6
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.33 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 11, 2026 Serie D - Group C
Vigasio vs Treviso
1:3
Sep 14, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Treviso vs Vigasio
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vigasio Compare

Top Goalscorer Bayou B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Treviso Compare

Top Goalscorer Beltrame P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gucher R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vigasio 50 / 100
Treviso 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vigasio Treviso

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vigasio Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Vigasio scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Away concern: Treviso has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Treviso conceded in 50% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Vigasio VS Treviso
1.38 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Vigasio

(Home)
17 May
Vigasio
2 : 3
FC Obermais
03 May
Vigasio
1 : 4
Legnago Salus
26 Apr
Luparense FC
1 : 0
Vigasio
19 Apr
Vigasio
1 : 3
Brian Lignano
12 Apr
Clodiense
0 : 1
Vigasio
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Treviso

(Away)
23 Aug
Trento
2 : 1
Treviso
16 Aug
Dolomiti Bellunesi
1 : 0
Treviso
13 May
Folgore Caratese
2 : 0
Treviso
10 May
Treviso
3 : 3
Vado
03 May
Mestre
1 : 0
Treviso
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Treviso 34 21 6 7 50:25 69
2 Legnago Salus 34 18 7 9 63:41 61
3 Clodiense 34 17 9 8 47:29 60
4 Este 34 14 13 7 40:29 55
5 Mestre 34 14 13 7 37:29 55
6 Cjarlins Muzane 34 13 12 9 41:39 51
7 Brian Lignano 34 16 8 10 58:34 50
8 Conegliano 34 13 11 10 36:28 50
9 Bassano Virtus 34 12 14 8 37:27 50
10 Campodarsego 34 13 9 12 37:34 48
11 Altavilla 34 10 16 8 28:24 46
12 Calvi Noale 34 13 5 16 38:40 44
13 Luparense FC 34 10 13 11 36:39 43
14 Vigasio 34 8 14 12 44:46 38
15 San Luigi 34 8 10 16 33:54 34
16 FC Obermais 34 8 10 16 33:46 34
17 Adriese 34 5 6 23 24:62 18
18 Portogruaro 34 1 8 25 25:81 11
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Additional match)