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Vigor Carpaneto vs Fanfulla

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2019/2020
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Qeros F.
36' Event
Bruno S.
45' Event
Mastrototaro D.

AI Match Summary

Vigor Carpaneto in this Serie D - Group D 2019/2020 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vigor Carpaneto.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

55%
Vigor Carpaneto
35%
Draws
10%
Fanfulla
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Vigor Carpaneto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

55% / Medium Confidence
  • Fanfulla haven't matched Vigor Carpaneto's recent run of results.
  • 55% — that's where the model lands on Vigor Carpaneto taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Vigor Carpaneto Clean Sheet 20%
Fanfulla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vigor Carpaneto Fanfulla
Matches Played 20 31
Wins 7 5
Draws 6 11
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 1.4 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.65
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 5, 2020 Serie D - Group D
Vigor Carpaneto vs Fanfulla
3:2
Sep 1, 2019 Serie D - Group D
Fanfulla vs Vigor Carpaneto
2:2
Mar 24, 2019 Serie D - Group D
Fanfulla vs Vigor Carpaneto
1:1
Nov 18, 2018 Serie D - Group D
Vigor Carpaneto vs Fanfulla
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vigor Carpaneto Compare

Top Goalscorer Bruno S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mastrototaro D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Fanfulla Compare

Top Goalscorer Qeros F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Scaramuzza R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vigor Carpaneto 85 / 100
Fanfulla 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vigor Carpaneto Fanfulla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vigor Carpaneto Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Vigor Carpaneto scored in 85% of their last 20 outings.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Vigor Carpaneto went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Fanfulla let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Fanfulla
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Vigor Carpaneto

(Home)
16 Feb
Vigor Carpaneto
2 : 1
Correggese
09 Feb
Crema
1 : 2
Vigor Carpaneto
02 Feb
Vigor Carpaneto
2 : 1
Fiorenzuola
26 Jan
Mantova
1 : 1
Vigor Carpaneto
19 Jan
Vigor Carpaneto
1 : 1
Mezzolara
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Fanfulla

(Away)
04 May
Club Milano
3 : 2
Fanfulla
27 Apr
Fanfulla
1 : 1
Sangiuliano City
17 Apr
Fanfulla
0 : 0
Pro Palazzolo
13 Apr
Arconatese
4 : 2
Fanfulla
06 Apr
Fanfulla
0 : 1
Ospitaletto
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