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Vigor Carpaneto vs Lentigione

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2019/2020
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Bruno S.
22' Event
Barranca F.
53' Event
Bernasconi D.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group D 2019/2020 game between Vigor Carpaneto and Lentigione finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lentigione.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Vigor Carpaneto
20%
Draws
36%
Lentigione
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vigor Carpaneto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Vigor Carpaneto haven't matched Lentigione's recent run of results.
  • Vigor Carpaneto are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Vigor Carpaneto Clean Sheet 17%
Lentigione Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vigor Carpaneto Lentigione
Matches Played 20 35
Wins 7 24
Draws 6 7
Losses 7 4
Goals Scored 1.4 1.8
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2020 Serie D - Group D
Lentigione vs Vigor Carpaneto
0:0
Dec 22, 2019 Serie D - Group D
Vigor Carpaneto vs Lentigione
1:3
Feb 13, 2019 Serie D - Group D
Vigor Carpaneto vs Lentigione
2:3
Oct 14, 2018 Serie D - Group D
Lentigione vs Vigor Carpaneto
1:1
Jan 14, 2018 Serie D - Group D
Lentigione vs Vigor Carpaneto
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vigor Carpaneto Compare

Top Goalscorer Bruno S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Lentigione Compare

Top Goalscorer Barranca F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bernasconi D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vigor Carpaneto 41 / 100
Lentigione 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vigor Carpaneto Lentigione

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vigor Carpaneto's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 20 recent games.

Vigor Carpaneto has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Lentigione has conceded goals in 63% of their last 35 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

- VS Lentigione
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Vigor Carpaneto

(Home)
16 Feb
Vigor Carpaneto
2 : 1
Correggese
09 Feb
Crema
1 : 2
Vigor Carpaneto
02 Feb
Vigor Carpaneto
2 : 1
Fiorenzuola
26 Jan
Mantova
1 : 1
Vigor Carpaneto
19 Jan
Vigor Carpaneto
1 : 1
Mezzolara
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Lentigione

(Away)
20 Sept
Lentigione
0 : 1
Cittadella Vis Modena
16 Sept
Tropical Coriano
1 : 2
Lentigione
12 Sept
Lentigione
1 : 0
Castellanzese
06 Sept
Pro Sesto
2 : 3
Lentigione
17 May
Lentigione
0 : 2
Piacenza
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