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Vigor Carpaneto vs Mezzolara

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2019/2020
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Sereni M.
51' Event
Favari E.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group D 2019/2020 game between Vigor Carpaneto and Mezzolara finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Vigor Carpaneto
35%
Draws
23%
Mezzolara
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Vigor Carpaneto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Vigor Carpaneto carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Vigor Carpaneto taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Vigor Carpaneto Clean Sheet 20%
Mezzolara Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vigor Carpaneto Mezzolara
Matches Played 20 30
Wins 7 3
Draws 6 11
Losses 7 16
Goals Scored 1.4 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 19, 2020 Serie D - Group D
Vigor Carpaneto vs Mezzolara
1:1
Sep 25, 2019 Coppa Italia Serie D
Mezzolara vs Vigor Carpaneto
1:0
Sep 15, 2019 Serie D - Group D
Mezzolara vs Vigor Carpaneto
2:1
Feb 17, 2019 Serie D - Group D
Mezzolara vs Vigor Carpaneto
1:0
Oct 28, 2018 Serie D - Group D
Vigor Carpaneto vs Mezzolara
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vigor Carpaneto Compare

Top Goalscorer Favari E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Mezzolara Compare

Top Goalscorer Sereni M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vigor Carpaneto 40 / 100
Mezzolara 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vigor Carpaneto Mezzolara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vigor Carpaneto Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Vigor Carpaneto scored in 85% of their last 20 outings.

Recent resilience: Vigor Carpaneto stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Mezzolara conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

- VS Mezzolara
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Vigor Carpaneto

(Home)
16 Feb
Vigor Carpaneto
2 : 1
Correggese
09 Feb
Crema
1 : 2
Vigor Carpaneto
02 Feb
Vigor Carpaneto
2 : 1
Fiorenzuola
26 Jan
Mantova
1 : 1
Vigor Carpaneto
19 Jan
Vigor Carpaneto
1 : 1
Mezzolara
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Mezzolara

(Away)
27 Sept
Mezzolara
0 : 0
Grassina
20 Sept
Ghiviborgo
1 : 1
Mezzolara
16 Sept
Mezzolara
2 : 1
Ternana
12 Sept
Siena
3 : 0
Mezzolara
06 Sept
Mezzolara
0 : 0
Rondinella
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