Sport Picks
Vigor Senigallia vs Fermana - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie D - Group F 2024/2025 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
Vigor Senigallia in this Serie D - Group F 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vigor Senigallia.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Vigor Senigallia have won more games recently than Fermana.
- 57% — that's where the model lands on Vigor Senigallia taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Vigor Senigallia | Fermana |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 4 |
| Draws | 12 | 11 |
| Losses | 6 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.61 | 0.67 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.23 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.35 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Vigor Senigallia Compare
Fermana Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Vigor Senigallia scored in 81% of their last 31 outings.
Fermana has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.
Vigor Senigallia went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Fermana's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Vigor Senigallia
(Home)Fermana
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sambenedettese | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 61:21 | 72 |
| 2 | Aquila Calcio | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 48:31 | 62 |
| 3 | Teramo | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 51:33 | 60 |
| 4 | Calcio Chieti | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 52:39 | 58 |
| 5 | Fossombrone | 34 | 12 | 14 | 8 | 44:36 | 50 |
| 6 | Ancona | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 35:40 | 47 |
| 7 | Avezzano | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 41:43 | 46 |
| 8 | Castelfidardo | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 39:34 | 45 |
| 9 | Atletico Ascoli | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 35:39 | 43 |
| 10 | Vigor Senigallia | 34 | 9 | 15 | 10 | 36:38 | 42 |
| 11 | Termoli | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 37:44 | 41 |
| 12 | Recanatese | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 42:53 | 40 |
| 13 | AS Sora | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 32:39 | 40 |
| 14 | Notaresco Calcio | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 37:45 | 38 |
| 15 | Civitanovese Calcio | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 31:39 | 37 |
| 16 | Roma City | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 32:36 | 35 |
| 17 | Isernia | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 32:57 | 34 |
| 18 | Fermana | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 24:42 | 27 |
