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Vigor vs IL Express

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 5 2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 5 2015 game between Vigor and IL Express finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Vigor
15%
Draws
85%
IL Express
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: IL Express

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and IL Express come out ahead of Vigor on wins alone.
  • Model gives IL Express a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Vigor Clean Sheet 10%
IL Express Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vigor IL Express
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 4 5
Draws 0 4
Losses 26 20
Goals Scored 1.13 1.17
Goals Conceded 3.87 2.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 3, 2016 Division 3 - Group 5
Vigor vs IL Express
5:2
May 12, 2016 Division 3 - Group 5
IL Express vs Vigor
3:1
Oct 17, 2015 Division 3 - Group 5
Vigor vs IL Express
1:1
Jun 25, 2015 Division 3 - Group 5
IL Express vs Vigor
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vigor 10 / 100
IL Express 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vigor IL Express

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IL Express Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

IL Express let in goals in 97% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Vigor scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

IL Express's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Vigor VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
4 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vigor

(Home)
13 Aug
Vigor
0 : 3
Start
27 Oct
Vindbjart
3 : 0
Vigor
20 Oct
Vigor
0 : 5
Vidar
07 Oct
Start 2
5 : 0
Vigor
28 Sept
Vigor
1 : 2
Fram
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IL Express

(Away)
10 Apr
IL Express
1 : 2
Arendal
23 Oct
Mandalskameratene
3 : 2
IL Express
16 Oct
IL Express
1 : 3
Eik-Tonsberg
08 Oct
Uradd
1 : 3
IL Express
04 Oct
IL Express
2 : 1
Start 2
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