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Vihiga United vs Kibera

Kenya Kenya

Super League
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AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Vihiga United and Kibera finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vihiga United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Vihiga United
30%
Draws
23%
Kibera
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vihiga United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Kibera carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Vihiga United taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Vihiga United Clean Sheet 68%
Kibera Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vihiga United Kibera
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 11
Draws 5 7
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 0.87 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Super League
Kibera vs Vihiga United
0:1
Feb 1, 2026 Super League
Vihiga United vs Kibera
2:1
Jun 8, 2025 Super League
Vihiga United vs Kibera
0:2
Oct 6, 2024 Super League
Kibera vs Vihiga United
0:0
May 4, 2024 Super League
Vihiga United vs Kibera
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vihiga United 50 / 100
Kibera 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vihiga United Kibera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIH Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vihiga United found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Kibera's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Kibera lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vihiga United VS Kibera
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vihiga United

(Home)
13 Jun
Kisumu All-Stars
1 : 0
Vihiga United
07 Jun
Vihiga United
1 : 1
Luanda Villa
01 Jun
Naivas FC
2 : 0
Vihiga United
27 May
Vihiga United
1 : 0
Gucha Stars
23 May
Darajani Gogo
1 : 0
Vihiga United
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Kibera

(Away)
13 Jun
Nzoia Sugar
1 : 0
Kibera
07 Jun
Kibera
1 : 2
MCF
01 Jun
MOFA
1 : 1
Kibera
27 May
Kibera
1 : 1
Nairobi City Stars
23 May
Migori
1 : 0
Kibera
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Migori 38 25 6 7 57:29 81
2 3K FC 38 23 8 7 62:26 77
3 Mombasa United 38 24 4 10 51:32 76
4 Equity Bank 38 21 11 6 56:28 74
5 MOFA 38 16 16 6 51:30 64
6 Fortune Sacco 38 18 9 11 61:41 63
7 Naivas FC 38 17 10 11 47:30 61
8 Talanta FC 38 16 9 13 53:41 57
9 Kibera 38 15 8 15 32:33 53
10 Soy United 38 14 10 14 31:27 52
11 Nzoia Sugar 38 12 14 12 37:36 50
12 Gucha Stars 38 12 8 18 35:41 44
13 Luanda Villa 38 12 7 19 30:51 43
14 Kabati 38 10 9 19 32:52 39
15 Kisumu All-Stars 38 10 9 19 23:47 39
16 Nairobi City Stars 38 9 12 17 32:44 39
17 Darajani Gogo 38 10 8 20 27:48 38
18 MCF 38 9 10 19 24:42 34
19 Vihiga United 38 9 9 20 29:55 30
20 Mwatate United 38 6 7 25 27:64 25
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