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Vihren vs Velbazhd Kyustendil

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-West 2020/2021 game between Vihren and Velbazhd Kyustendil finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vihren.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Vihren
20%
Draws
0%
Velbazhd Kyustendil
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vihren

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vihren come out ahead of Velbazhd Kyustendil on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Vihren's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Vihren here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Vihren Clean Sheet 20%
Velbazhd Kyustendil Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vihren Velbazhd Kyustendil
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 16 4
Draws 7 4
Losses 6 22
Goals Scored 1.79 0.5
Goals Conceded 0.9 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2021 Third League - South-West
Vihren vs Velbazhd Kyustendil
2:0
Aug 15, 2020 Third League - South-West
Velbazhd Kyustendil vs Vihren
0:5
May 18, 2019 Third League - South-West
Velbazhd Kyustendil vs Vihren
0:4
Nov 10, 2018 Third League - South-West
Vihren vs Velbazhd Kyustendil
1:0
Apr 22, 2017 Third League - South-West
Velbazhd Kyustendil vs Vihren
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vihren 85 / 100
Velbazhd Kyustendil 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vihren Velbazhd Kyustendil

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vihren Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Vihren stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Velbazhd Kyustendil registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Vihren found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Velbazhd Kyustendil conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Vihren VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vihren

(Home)
03 Sept
Vihren
4 : 1
Etar
30 Aug
Spartak Pleven
0 : 2
Vihren
24 Aug
Vihren
2 : 2
Fratria
18 Aug
Ludogorets II
0 : 2
Vihren
09 Aug
Vihren
1 : 1
Chernomorets 1919
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Velbazhd Kyustendil

(Away)
29 May
Slivnishki Geroy
6 : 1
Velbazhd Kyustendil
22 May
Velbazhd Kyustendil
1 : 2
Pirin Razlog
15 May
Botev Ihtiman
5 : 0
Velbazhd Kyustendil
12 May
Velbazhd Kyustendil
0 : 5
Belasitsa Petrich
08 May
Oborishte Panagyurishte
4 : 0
Velbazhd Kyustendil
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marek 34 25 7 2 84:24 82
2 Kyustendil 34 26 4 4 63:14 79
3 Belasitsa Petrich 34 23 9 2 68:27 78
4 Vihren 34 23 6 5 63:25 75
5 Oborishte Panagyurishte 34 18 6 10 55:41 60
6 Balkan Botevgrad 34 16 10 8 62:34 58
7 Chavdar Etropole 34 15 6 13 62:46 51
8 Botev Ihtiman 34 13 7 14 53:41 46
9 Gotse Delchev 34 13 6 15 37:32 45
10 Pirin Razlog 34 11 8 15 40:59 41
11 Nadezhda Dobroslavci 34 10 6 18 40:56 36
12 Slivnishki Geroy 34 9 9 16 38:44 36
13 Rilski Sportist 34 9 7 18 30:45 34
14 Bansko 34 10 4 20 28:47 34
15 Levski Chepintsi 34 10 4 20 34:72 34
16 Granit Vladaya 34 9 5 20 34:65 32
17 Perun 34 6 4 24 25:77 22
18 Velbazhd Kyustendil 34 4 4 26 16:83 16
Promotion - Vtora liga 2021/2022 (Main)