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Viimsi JK vs FC Alliance

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Viimsi JK play FC Alliance in the Esiliiga 2023. Viimsi JK are favorites here. Recently, Viimsi JK averaged 1.71 goals scored and 1.24 conceded. FC Alliance averaged 1.23 goals scored and 3.43 conceded. In past meetings, Viimsi JK won 5, FC Alliance won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 8, 2023 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.54 for Viimsi JK and 1.13 for FC Alliance. This points to a Viimsi JK double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Viimsi JK
15%
Draws
12%
FC Alliance
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Viimsi JK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Viimsi JK picked up more points recently compared to FC Alliance.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.54 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 70%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 70%
Over 3.5 Goals 42%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%
Viimsi JK Clean Sheet 21%
FC Alliance Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Viimsi JK FC Alliance
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 18 4
Draws 4 2
Losses 12 24
Goals Scored 1.71 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.24 3.43

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 8, 2023 Esiliiga
FC Alliance vs Viimsi JK
1:3
Aug 26, 2023 Esiliiga
Viimsi JK vs FC Alliance
1:0
May 20, 2023 Esiliiga
Viimsi JK vs FC Alliance
3:1
Mar 12, 2023 Esiliiga
FC Alliance vs Viimsi JK
2:6
Nov 5, 2022 Esiliiga
FC Alliance vs Viimsi JK
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Viimsi JK Compare

Top Goalscorer Tovstik S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

FC Alliance Compare

Top Goalscorer Torinava I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Viimsi JK 70 / 100
FC Alliance 13 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Viimsi JK FC Alliance

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Viimsi JK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Viimsi JK & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +12.4%
1.54
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.2%
1.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Viimsi JK attacking → ← attacking FC Alliance

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Viimsi JK scored in 76% of their last 34 games.

FC Alliance let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Viimsi JK went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

FC Alliance lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

58 Points in last 5 14
1.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Nomme Utd362862114:2990
2Viimsi JK36218767:3571
3Flora Tallinn U21362231186:5369
4Levadia U21361691157:4657
5Tabasalu361811781:7055
6FC Tallinn361641672:6552
7Paide Linnameeskond U21361251966:8241
8Elva361242045:7540
9Legion36562537:9721
10FC Alliance36622850:12320