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Viimsi JK vs Flora Tallinn U21

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga Viimsi Staadion
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Viimsi JK play Flora Tallinn U21 in the Esiliiga. It looks like a close match. Recently, Viimsi JK averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1.27 conceded. Flora Tallinn U21 averaged 1.97 goals scored and 2.03 conceded. In past meetings, Viimsi JK won 3, Flora Tallinn U21 won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 9, 2026 ended 0:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.69 for Viimsi JK and 1.75 for Flora Tallinn U21. This points to a Viimsi JK double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Viimsi JK
16%
Draws
37%
Flora Tallinn U21
Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Viimsi JK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Viimsi JK picked up more points recently compared to Flora Tallinn U21.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.69 vs 1.75 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 66%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 66%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
Viimsi JK Clean Sheet 12%
Flora Tallinn U21 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Viimsi JK Flora Tallinn U21
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 13
Draws 4 5
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.67 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.27 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Esiliiga
Flora Tallinn U21 vs Viimsi JK
0:4
Mar 6, 2026 Esiliiga
Viimsi JK vs Flora Tallinn U21
2:1
Oct 16, 2025 Esiliiga
Viimsi JK vs Flora Tallinn U21
2:0
Aug 31, 2025 Esiliiga
Flora Tallinn U21 vs Viimsi JK
1:0
Jul 5, 2025 Esiliiga
Flora Tallinn U21 vs Viimsi JK
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Viimsi JK Compare

Top Goalscorer Murage J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Magi K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Flora Tallinn U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kukkonen M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Viimsi JK 45 / 100
Flora Tallinn U21 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Viimsi JK Flora Tallinn U21

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Viimsi JK or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20.3%
2.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.2%
1.67
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Viimsi JK attacking → ← attacking Flora Tallinn U21

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Viimsi JK scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Flora Tallinn U21 let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Viimsi JK went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Flora Tallinn U21 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

49 Points in last 5 44
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 2.75
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Tartu JK Welco18133254:2342
2Viimsi JK1794428:1431
3Flora Tallinn U211793544:3430
4Elva1873831:3224
5Maardu Linnameeskond1865726:3823
6Tallinna Kalev1864835:3622
7Levadia U2118701134:3321
8Nomme Utd U211754834:4119
9Kalju U211753928:4218
10FC Tallinn1845925:4617