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Viimsi MRJK vs Tallinn Forza

Estonia Estonia

Estonian Cup 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Viimsi MRJK play Tallinn Forza in the Estonian Cup 2015/2016. It looks like a close match. Recently, Viimsi MRJK averaged 2.44 goals scored and 3.22 conceded. Tallinn Forza averaged 3.5 goals scored and 3 conceded. In past meetings, Viimsi MRJK won 1, Tallinn Forza won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 13, 2016 ended 6:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.50 for Viimsi MRJK and 3.38 for Tallinn Forza. This points to a Viimsi MRJK double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Viimsi MRJK
15%
Draws
41%
Tallinn Forza
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Viimsi MRJK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Viimsi MRJK picked up more points recently compared to Tallinn Forza.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.50 vs 3.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 94%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 94%
Over 3.5 Goals 56%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%
Viimsi MRJK Clean Sheet 10%
Tallinn Forza Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 90%
Second Half Goal 95%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Viimsi MRJK Tallinn Forza
Matches Played 9 6
Wins 5 4
Draws 0 0
Losses 4 2
Goals Scored 2.44 3.5
Goals Conceded 3.22 3
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 3.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.25 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2016 Estonian Cup
Viimsi MRJK vs Tallinn Forza
6:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Viimsi MRJK Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaljumae A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Keskula A.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Tallinn Forza Compare

Top Goalscorer Tsigrinov J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 3.18
Avg xA / game 1.94

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Viimsi MRJK 42 / 100
Tallinn Forza 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Viimsi MRJK Tallinn Forza

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Viimsi MRJK or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +22.3%
2.78
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +7.2%
1.14
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Viimsi MRJK attacking → ← attacking Tallinn Forza

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Viimsi MRJK scored in 56% of their last 9 games.

Tallinn Forza let in goals in 67% of their last 6 matches.

Games between these two average 7.00 goals.

Viimsi MRJK went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Tallinn Forza lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

15 Points in last 5 12
2.00 Goals expected (xG) 3.50
3.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.00