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Viitorul Targu Jiu II vs Aurul Brad

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 7 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This Liga 3 - Seria 7 2022/2023 encounter between Viitorul Targu Jiu II and Aurul Brad promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Viitorul Targu Jiu II averages 1.4 goals scored and 2.8 conceded in recent matches. Aurul Brad shows a form average of 1.6 goals scored and 2.7 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 2 wins for Viitorul Targu Jiu II, 3 wins for Aurul Brad, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 06.05.23 ended in a 0:1 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.63 for Viitorul Targu Jiu II and 1.38 for Aurul Brad, suggesting the primary value lies in the Aurul Brad double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Viitorul Targu Jiu II
15%
Draws
43%
Aurul Brad
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aurul Brad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Viitorul Targu Jiu II picked up more points recently compared to Aurul Brad.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.63 vs 1.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 74%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 91%
Over 2.5 Goals 74%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%
Viitorul Targu Jiu II Clean Sheet 17%
Aurul Brad Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 82%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Viitorul Targu Jiu II Aurul Brad
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 10
Draws 2 3
Losses 18 18
Goals Scored 1.37 1.55
Goals Conceded 2.77 2.68
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

06.05.23 Liga 3 - Seria 7
Aurul Brad vs Viitorul Targu Jiu II
0:1
07.04.23 Liga 3 - Seria 7
Viitorul Targu Jiu II vs Aurul Brad
2:3
11.03.23 Liga 3 - Seria 7
Aurul Brad vs Viitorul Targu Jiu II
6:0
07.10.22 Liga 3 - Seria 7
Viitorul Targu Jiu II vs Aurul Brad
3:2
20.05.22 Liga 3 - Seria 7
Viitorul Targu Jiu II vs Aurul Brad
0:2

Tactical Matchup Profile

Field Positions & Control Styles

Viitorul Targu Jiu II

Pressing Intensity Aggressive press (PPDA < 9.5)
Attacking Style Keep the ball
Wing Attack Frequency Play through the middle
Defensive Alignment Push high up (Offside trap)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Aurul Brad

Pressing Intensity Medium Block
Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks
Wing Attack Frequency A lot of crosses
Defensive Alignment Push high up (Offside trap)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Viitorul Targu Jiu II 41 / 100
Aurul Brad 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Viitorul Targu Jiu II Aurul Brad

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Aurul Brad or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23.5%
2.94
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.8%
1.47
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Expected Match Flow Timeline

Dominance and pressure projections by 15-minute intervals

0' - 15' Dominance Index

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

Viitorul Targu Jiu II 46%
Aurul Brad 34%
15' - 30' Dominance Index

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

Viitorul Targu Jiu II 40%
Aurul Brad 45%
30' - 45' Dominance Index

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

Viitorul Targu Jiu II 42%
Aurul Brad 43%
45' - 60' Dominance Index

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

Viitorul Targu Jiu II 44%
Aurul Brad 41%
60' - 75' Dominance Index

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

Viitorul Targu Jiu II 38%
Aurul Brad 47%
75' - 90' Dominance Index

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

Viitorul Targu Jiu II 48%
Aurul Brad 49%

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Viitorul Targu Jiu II attacking → ← attacking Aurul Brad

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Viitorul Targu Jiu II have found the net in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Aurul Brad have conceded at least one goal in 81% of their last 31 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 3.80 goals per match.

Viitorul Targu Jiu II remained undefeated in 5 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Aurul Brad suffered defeat in 3 of their last 5 overall games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risk Factor

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Risk Factor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

32 Points in last 5 33
2.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25