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Viking 2 vs Vag - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 4 Lyse Arena, Stavanger
Our Tip

Match Events

60' Event
Mahlaw S.
62' Event
Fuglestad O.
75' Event
Middelthon J.

AI Match Summary

Vag in this Division 3 - Group 4 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vag.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Viking 2
20%
Draws
61%
Vag
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vag

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

19% / Low Confidence
  • Viking 2 have won more games recently than Vag.
  • 19% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 4 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 89%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 89%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Viking 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Vag Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Viking 2 Vag
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 13
Draws 5 3
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 2.69 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Division 3 - Group 4
Viking 2 vs Vag
1:2
Jun 25, 2026 Division 3 - Group 4
Vag vs Viking 2
3:2
Aug 18, 2025 Division 3 - Group 5
Vag vs Viking 2
1:2
May 3, 2025 Division 3 - Group 5
Viking 2 vs Vag
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Viking 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Middelthon J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Vag Compare

Top Goalscorer Mahlaw S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fuglestad O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Viking 2 29 / 100
Vag 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Viking 2 Vag

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Viking 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Viking 2 found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

Vag let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Viking 2 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Viking 2 VS Vag
2.25 Goals Scored 2.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Viking 2

(Home)
17 Oct
Hinna
4 : 2
Viking 2
10 Oct
Viking 2
5 : 1
Vindbjart
05 Oct
Odds BK 2
3 : 1
Viking 2
26 Sept
Viking 2
1 : 2
Vag
21 Sept
Staal Jorpeland
2 : 2
Viking 2
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Vag

(Away)
18 Oct
Flekkeroy
1 : 2
Vag
10 Oct
Staal Jorpeland
0 : 4
Vag
03 Oct
Vag
4 : 1
Varhaug
26 Sept
Viking 2
1 : 2
Vag
19 Sept
Vag
2 : 2
Brodd
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