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Viking vs Sarpsborg 08

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Kvia-Egeskog S.
35'
35'

AI Match Summary

Viking in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Viking.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Viking
39%
Draws
31%
Sarpsborg 08
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Viking have won more games recently than Sarpsborg 08.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Viking Clean Sheet 20%
Sarpsborg 08 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Viking Sarpsborg 08
Matches Played 29 26
Wins 22 13
Draws 4 4
Losses 3 9
Goals Scored 2.25 1.25
Goals Conceded 1 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Eliteserien
Sarpsborg 08 vs Viking
1:0
Mar 1, 2026 Club Friendly
Viking vs Sarpsborg 08
2:0
Sep 27, 2025 Eliteserien
Sarpsborg 08 vs Viking
3:3
Jul 9, 2025 NM Cup
Sarpsborg 08 vs Viking
1:0
May 4, 2025 Eliteserien
Viking vs Sarpsborg 08
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Viking Compare

Top Goalscorer Kvia-Egeskog S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tripic Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Sarpsborg 08 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Viking 31 / 100
Sarpsborg 08 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Viking Sarpsborg 08

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Viking found the back of the net in 97% of recent matches (29 games).

Sarpsborg 08 let in goals in 69% of their last 26 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Viking has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Viking VS Sarpsborg 08
2.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Viking

(Home)
26 Jul
Aalesund
1 : 1
Viking
22 Jul
Lillestrom
1 : 2
Viking
18 Jul
Viking
2 : 1
Sandefjord
12 Jul
Sarpsborg 08
1 : 0
Viking
03 Jul
Sonderjyske
1 : 1
Viking
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Sarpsborg 08

(Away)
26 Jul
Sarpsborg 08
1 : 0
Ham-Kam
18 Jul
Kristiansund
0 : 0
Sarpsborg 08
12 Jul
Sarpsborg 08
1 : 0
Viking
03 Jul
Lillestrom
3 : 1
Sarpsborg 08
29 May
Brann
1 : 2
Sarpsborg 08
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