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Viking vs Tromso - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

Eliteserien Lyse Arena, Stavanger
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Viking host Tromso in the Eliteserien. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Viking at 2.47 goals for, 0.93 against; Tromso at 1.9 for, 1.32 against. Head-to-head, Viking have won 2 to Tromso's 0, with 3 draws. They last met on Feb 20, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (2.38 - 1.31) back Viking to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Viking
15%
Draws
31%
Tromso
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Viking

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Viking carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Viking are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Eliteserien form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Viking Clean Sheet 18%
Tromso Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Viking Tromso
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 22 16
Draws 4 6
Losses 4 9
Goals Scored 2.47 1.9
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 20, 2026 Club Friendly
Tromso vs Viking
1:1
Oct 19, 2025 Eliteserien
Tromso vs Viking
1:3
Apr 27, 2025 Eliteserien
Viking vs Tromso
4:4
Sep 1, 2024 Eliteserien
Tromso vs Viking
2:2
May 5, 2024 Eliteserien
Viking vs Tromso
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Viking 85 / 100
Tromso 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Viking Tromso

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Viking Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Viking scored in 97% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Viking has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Tromso's defensive record shows goals conceded in 58% of 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Viking VS Tromso
3 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Viking

(Home)
09 Oct
Brann
0 : 2
Viking
01 Oct
Madla IL
0 : 3
Viking
20 Sept
Viking
3 : 0
Lillestrom
13 Sept
Viking
8 : 1
Kristiansund
09 Sept
VfB Stuttgart
3 : 1
Viking
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Tromso

(Away)
20 Sept
Tromso
3 : 2
Ham-Kam
16 Sept
Alta
1 : 2
Tromso
12 Sept
Rosenborg
5 : 3
Tromso
06 Sept
Kristiansund
2 : 0
Tromso
30 Aug
Tromso
0 : 0
Sarpsborg 08
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Viking 22 17 2 3 56:20 53
2 Bodo/Glimt 21 16 2 3 53:19 50
3 Tromso 21 11 5 5 40:29 38
4 Molde 21 11 3 7 44:32 36
5 Rosenborg 21 10 3 8 39:30 33
6 Lillestrom 21 10 2 9 28:29 32
7 Brann 22 9 2 11 39:34 29
8 Fredrikstad 21 8 4 9 25:32 28
9 Sarpsborg 08 21 6 7 8 24:29 25
10 KFUM Oslo 21 7 4 10 25:35 25
11 Sandefjord 21 6 5 10 21:27 23
12 Valerenga 21 6 5 10 34:43 23
13 Ham-Kam 21 6 5 10 29:44 23
14 Aalesund 21 4 9 8 33:46 21
15 Kristiansund 21 5 4 12 21:40 19
16 Start 21 4 4 13 22:44 16
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen 2027 (Main)