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Vikingur Reykjavik vs Keflavik - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iceland Iceland

Besta deild karla Víkingsvöllur, Reykjavík
Vikingur Reykjavik Logo

Vikingur Reykjavik

5 - 1
FT
Keflavik Logo

Keflavik

Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Gunnarsson K.
Assist: Borgthorsson O.
16' Event
Thordarson S.
Assist: Gudjonsson H.
46' Event
Baxter B.
Assist: Ljubicic S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Vikingur Reykjavik in this Besta deild karla matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vikingur Reykjavik.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Vikingur Reykjavik
30%
Draws
23%
Keflavik
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vikingur Reykjavik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vikingur Reykjavik lately — more wins on the board than Keflavik.
  • Model gives Vikingur Reykjavik a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Vikingur Reykjavik have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Vikingur Reykjavik Clean Sheet 16%
Keflavik Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vikingur Reykjavik Keflavik
Matches Played 34 28
Wins 23 11
Draws 5 5
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 2.59 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2026 Besta deild karla
Vikingur Reykjavik vs Keflavik
4:1
Jul 24, 2026 Besta deild karla
Vikingur Reykjavik vs Keflavik
5:1
May 3, 2026 Besta deild karla
Keflavik vs Vikingur Reykjavik
1:3
Jul 8, 2023 Besta deild karla
Keflavik vs Vikingur Reykjavik
3:3
May 4, 2023 Besta deild karla
Vikingur Reykjavik vs Keflavik
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vikingur Reykjavik Compare

Top Goalscorer Gunnarsson K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Thordarson S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Keflavik Compare

Top Goalscorer Baxter B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vikingur Reykjavik 84 / 100
Keflavik 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vikingur Reykjavik Keflavik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vikingur Reykjavik Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vikingur Reykjavik scored in 91% of their last 34 games.

Defensive concern: Keflavik conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 5.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Vikingur Reykjavik stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vikingur Reykjavik VS Keflavik
2 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Vikingur Reykjavik

(Home)
19 Sept
KR Reykjavik
1 : 2
Vikingur Reykjavik
14 Sept
Vikingur Reykjavik
4 : 1
Keflavik
06 Sept
Vikingur Reykjavik
2 : 2
Fram
01 Sept
KR Reykjavik
1 : 1
Vikingur Reykjavik
27 Aug
Borac Banja Luka
3 : 1
Vikingur Reykjavik
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Keflavik

(Away)
20 Sept
Keflavik
2 : 2
Fram
14 Sept
Vikingur Reykjavik
4 : 1
Keflavik
05 Sept
Keflavik
1 : 2
Valur
30 Aug
Hafnarfjordur
2 : 1
Keflavik
23 Aug
Keflavik
1 : 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vikingur Reykjavik 22 16 5 1 67:21 53
2 Fram 22 13 6 3 56:42 45
3 KR Reykjavik 22 13 5 4 74:49 44
4 Breidablik 22 8 6 8 43:41 30
5 Akranes 22 8 6 8 39:41 30
6 Keflavik 22 8 4 10 33:38 28
7 Stjarnan 22 8 4 10 42:50 28
8 Valur 22 8 3 11 39:45 27
9 Hafnarfjordur 22 4 9 9 27:39 21
10 Thor Akureyri 22 6 3 13 22:50 21
11 KA Akureyri 22 5 5 12 35:48 20
12 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 22 4 6 12 32:45 18
Promotion - Besta deild karla (Championship Group)
Relegation - Besta deild karla (Relegation Group)