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Vikingur Reykjavik vs Keflavik

Iceland Iceland

Besta deild karla Víkingsvöllur, Reykjavík
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Gunnarsson K.
Assist: Borgthorsson O.
16' Event
Thordarson S.
Assist: Gudjonsson H.
46' Event
Baxter B.
Assist: Ljubicic S.

AI Match Summary

Vikingur Reykjavik in this Besta deild karla matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vikingur Reykjavik.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Vikingur Reykjavik
11%
Draws
9%
Keflavik
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Vikingur Reykjavik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vikingur Reykjavik lately — more wins on the board than Keflavik.
  • Model gives Vikingur Reykjavik a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Vikingur Reykjavik have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Vikingur Reykjavik Clean Sheet 17%
Keflavik Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vikingur Reykjavik Keflavik
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 25 13
Draws 4 5
Losses 3 12
Goals Scored 2.75 1.75
Goals Conceded 1 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 24, 2026 Besta deild karla
Vikingur Reykjavik vs Keflavik
5:1
May 3, 2026 Besta deild karla
Keflavik vs Vikingur Reykjavik
1:3
Jul 8, 2023 Besta deild karla
Keflavik vs Vikingur Reykjavik
3:3
May 4, 2023 Besta deild karla
Vikingur Reykjavik vs Keflavik
4:1
Sep 11, 2022 Besta deild karla
Keflavik vs Vikingur Reykjavik
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vikingur Reykjavik Compare

Top Goalscorer Gunnarsson K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Thordarson S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

Keflavik Compare

Top Goalscorer Baxter B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vikingur Reykjavik 75 / 100
Keflavik 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vikingur Reykjavik Keflavik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vikingur Reykjavik scored in 94% of their last 32 games.

Defensive concern: Keflavik conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Vikingur Reykjavik stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vikingur Reykjavik VS Keflavik
2.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 2.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Vikingur Reykjavik

(Home)
24 Jul
Vikingur Reykjavik
5 : 1
Keflavik
21 Jul
Vikingur Reykjavik
2 : 1
H. Beer Sheva
18 Jul
Thor Akureyri
2 : 1
Vikingur Reykjavik
14 Jul
Gyor
2 : 2
Vikingur Reykjavik
07 Jul
Vikingur Reykjavik
1 : 0
Gyor
Page 1 of 7

Keflavik

(Away)
24 Jul
Vikingur Reykjavik
5 : 1
Keflavik
20 Jul
Keflavik
5 : 2
Akranes
13 Jul
Breidablik
2 : 1
Keflavik
06 Jul
Keflavik
1 : 1
Fram
28 Jun
Keflavik
3 : 2
KR Reykjavik
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vikingur Reykjavik16141154:1243
2KR Reykjavik16112358:3635
3Fram16104241:2834
4Breidablik1575334:2626
5Valur1661926:3219
6Keflavik1654725:3319
7Akranes1653826:3418
8IBV Vestmannaeyjar1544726:3316
9Stjarnan1643929:4115
10KA Akureyri1542924:3214
11Hafnarfjordur1627720:3113
12Thor Akureyri15321017:4211
Promotion - Besta deild karla (Championship Group)
Relegation - Besta deild karla (Relegation Group)