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Vikingur Reykjavik vs Valur Prediction & H2H Stats

Iceland Iceland

Besta deild karla Víkingsvöllur, Reykjavík
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Palsson J.
49' Event
Ingimundarson V.
Assist: Magnusson H.
62'
Sub
Eyjolfsson H. In: Sigurbjornsson E.
Out: Eyjolfsson H.

AI Match Summary

Vikingur Reykjavik in this Besta deild karla matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vikingur Reykjavik.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Vikingur Reykjavik
35%
Draws
32%
Valur
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Vikingur Reykjavik have won more games recently than Valur.
  • Win probability leans Vikingur Reykjavik's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Besta deild karla form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Vikingur Reykjavik Clean Sheet 10%
Valur Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vikingur Reykjavik Valur
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 18 10
Draws 5 5
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 2.34 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.34 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Besta deild karla
Vikingur Reykjavik vs Valur
2:0
May 31, 2026 Besta deild karla
Valur vs Vikingur Reykjavik
1:5
Oct 25, 2025 Besta deild karla
Vikingur Reykjavik vs Valur
2:0
Jul 20, 2025 Besta deild karla
Vikingur Reykjavik vs Valur
1:2
Apr 28, 2025 Besta deild karla
Valur vs Vikingur Reykjavik
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vikingur Reykjavik Compare

Top Goalscorer Ingimundarson V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gudjonsson H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Valur Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vikingur Reykjavik 40 / 100
Valur 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vikingur Reykjavik Valur

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vikingur Reykjavik found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Valur conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Vikingur Reykjavik remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vikingur Reykjavik VS Valur
2 Goals Scored 1.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Vikingur Reykjavik

(Home)
19 Sept
KR Reykjavik
1 : 2
Vikingur Reykjavik
14 Sept
Vikingur Reykjavik
4 : 1
Keflavik
06 Sept
Vikingur Reykjavik
2 : 2
Fram
01 Sept
KR Reykjavik
1 : 1
Vikingur Reykjavik
27 Aug
Borac Banja Luka
3 : 1
Vikingur Reykjavik
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Valur

(Away)
20 Sept
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1 : 1
Valur
13 Sept
Valur
4 : 1
Thor Akureyri
05 Sept
Keflavik
1 : 2
Valur
30 Aug
Valur
2 : 2
Akranes
23 Aug
Vikingur Reykjavik
2 : 0
Valur
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vikingur Reykjavik 22 16 5 1 67:21 53
2 Fram 22 13 6 3 56:42 45
3 KR Reykjavik 22 13 5 4 74:49 44
4 Breidablik 22 8 6 8 43:41 30
5 Akranes 22 8 6 8 39:41 30
6 Keflavik 22 8 4 10 33:38 28
7 Stjarnan 22 8 4 10 42:50 28
8 Valur 22 8 3 11 39:45 27
9 Hafnarfjordur 22 4 9 9 27:39 21
10 Thor Akureyri 22 6 3 13 22:50 21
11 KA Akureyri 22 5 5 12 35:48 20
12 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 22 4 6 12 32:45 18
Promotion - Besta deild karla (Championship Group)
Relegation - Besta deild karla (Relegation Group)