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Vila Cortez vs Castro Daire

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2020/2021
Vila Cortez Logo

Vila Cortez

0 - 1
FT
Castro Daire Logo

Castro Daire

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2020/2021 game between Vila Cortez and Castro Daire finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Castro Daire.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Vila Cortez
15%
Draws
85%
Castro Daire
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Castro Daire

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Castro Daire carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Castro Daire's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Vila Cortez Clean Sheet 10%
Castro Daire Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vila Cortez Castro Daire
Matches Played 28 33
Wins 2 6
Draws 1 10
Losses 25 17
Goals Scored 0.64 0.82
Goals Conceded 3.71 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Vila Cortez vs Castro Daire
0:1
Feb 13, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Castro Daire vs Vila Cortez
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vila Cortez 10 / 100
Castro Daire 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vila Cortez Castro Daire

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Castro Daire Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Castro Daire's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 33 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Castro Daire has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Vila Cortez scored in 36% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Vila Cortez VS Castro Daire
2 Goals Scored 0.5
4 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 38%
100% Over 2.5 25%
100% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Vila Cortez

(Home)
08 Sept
Vila Cortez
2 : 4
Anadia
11 Sept
Os Marialvas
3 : 1
Vila Cortez
10 Apr
Vila Cortez
0 : 3
Canelas 2010
03 Apr
Valadares Gaia FC
8 : 0
Vila Cortez
14 Mar
Anadia
7 : 0
Vila Cortez
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Castro Daire

(Away)
13 Sept
Beira Mar
1 : 1
Castro Daire
22 Aug
Sousense
0 : 1
Castro Daire
16 Aug
Castro Daire
0 : 2
UD Ovarense
31 Aug
Castro Daire
1 : 2
Anadia
16 Apr
Leca
1 : 0
Castro Daire
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Anadia 22 13 5 4 39:15 44
2 Canelas 2010 22 12 5 5 28:13 41
3 Lusitania FC 22 11 6 5 38:26 39
4 Sao Joao de Ver 22 10 8 4 30:14 38
5 Sanjoanense 22 8 12 2 26:13 36
6 Castro Daire 22 10 5 7 23:24 35
7 Valadares Gaia FC 22 10 3 9 36:27 33
8 SC Espinho 22 9 4 9 33:22 31
9 Beira Mar 22 9 4 9 30:23 31
10 Agueda 22 4 5 13 17:28 17
11 Lusitano FCV 22 4 4 14 17:34 16
12 Vila Cortez 22 1 1 20 8:86 4
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 (Qualification)