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Vila Cortez vs Lusitano FCV

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2020/2021 game between Vila Cortez and Lusitano FCV finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lusitano FCV.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Vila Cortez
6%
Draws
90%
Lusitano FCV
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Lusitano FCV

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Lusitano FCV carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Lusitano FCV taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Vila Cortez Clean Sheet 10%
Lusitano FCV Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vila Cortez Lusitano FCV
Matches Played 28 26
Wins 2 5
Draws 1 4
Losses 25 17
Goals Scored 0.63 1.25
Goals Conceded 4.13 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.13 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Lusitano FCV vs Vila Cortez
4:2
Feb 11, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Vila Cortez vs Lusitano FCV
1:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vila Cortez 10 / 100
Lusitano FCV 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vila Cortez Lusitano FCV

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LUS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Lusitano FCV conceded in 81% of 26 recent games.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Lusitano FCV lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Vila Cortez scored in 36% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Vila Cortez VS Lusitano FCV
0.63 Goals Scored 1.25
4.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
88% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Anadia22135439:1544
2Canelas 201022125528:1341
3Lusitania FC22116538:2639
4Sao Joao de Ver22108430:1438
5Sanjoanense22812226:1336
6Castro Daire22105723:2435
7Valadares Gaia FC22103936:2733
8SC Espinho2294933:2231
9Beira Mar2294930:2331
10Agueda22451317:2817
11Lusitano FCV22441417:3416
12Vila Cortez2211208:864