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Vila Mea vs CD Gouveia

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Lopes J.
28'
Pereira B.
28'
Pereira B.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2025/2026 game between Vila Mea and CD Gouveia finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vila Mea.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Vila Mea
15%
Draws
26%
CD Gouveia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vila Mea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • CD Gouveia haven't matched Vila Mea's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Vila Mea a 59% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Vila Mea Clean Sheet 68%
CD Gouveia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vila Mea CD Gouveia
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 2
Draws 12 4
Losses 10 24
Goals Scored 1.14 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.21 2.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
CD Gouveia vs Vila Mea
3:2
Dec 7, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Vila Mea vs CD Gouveia
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vila Mea Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopes J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Firmino D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

CD Gouveia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vila Mea 95 / 100
CD Gouveia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vila Mea CD Gouveia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vila Mea Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Gouveia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Vila Mea's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Vila Mea has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Vila Mea VS CD Gouveia
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Vila Mea

(Home)
13 Sept
Vila Mea
4 : 0
Vinhais
06 Sept
Rebordosa
1 : 0
Vila Mea
30 Aug
Maia Lidador
1 : 0
Vila Mea
23 Aug
Vila Mea
1 : 1
AD Limianos
16 Aug
Ponte da Barca
1 : 2
Vila Mea
Page 1 of 6

CD Gouveia

(Away)
18 Apr
CD Gouveia
1 : 2
Beira Mar
12 Apr
Anadia
2 : 1
CD Gouveia
04 Apr
CD Gouveia
3 : 2
Vila Mea
22 Mar
CD Gouveia
0 : 2
Uniao Lamas
15 Mar
FC Alpendorada
1 : 0
CD Gouveia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rebordosa 26 17 7 2 41:17 58
2 Leca 26 14 9 3 50:23 51
3 Cinfaes 26 10 10 6 33:21 40
4 Beira Mar 26 10 8 8 30:22 38
5 FC Alpendorada 26 9 11 6 30:22 38
6 Florgrade 26 9 10 7 28:28 37
7 Vila Mea 26 7 13 6 29:28 34
8 Uniao Lamas 26 9 6 11 27:33 33
9 SC Salgueiros 26 7 11 8 20:19 32
10 Anadia 26 7 9 10 27:33 30
11 Aparecida 26 9 4 13 36:51 28
12 GD Resende 26 6 10 10 27:31 28
13 SC Vila Real 26 5 12 9 23:30 27
14 CD Gouveia 26 1 4 21 14:57 7
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)