Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vila Mea vs Rebordosa Prediction & H2H Stats

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Morais M.
90'
Makinde K.
90'
Makinde K.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2025/2026 game between Vila Mea and Rebordosa finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vila Mea.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Vila Mea
20%
Draws
29%
Rebordosa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vila Mea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Rebordosa carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Vila Mea are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Vila Mea Clean Sheet 68%
Rebordosa Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vila Mea Rebordosa
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 13
Draws 12 8
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.14 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Rebordosa vs Vila Mea
1:0
Mar 22, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Vila Mea vs Rebordosa
1:0
Nov 29, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Rebordosa vs Vila Mea
1:1
Mar 3, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Vila Mea vs Rebordosa
0:1
Nov 5, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Rebordosa vs Vila Mea
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vila Mea Compare

Top Goalscorer Morais M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Rebordosa Compare

Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vila Mea 95 / 100
Rebordosa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vila Mea Rebordosa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vila Mea Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Vila Mea scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Rebordosa conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Vila Mea went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Rebordosa lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vila Mea VS Rebordosa
1 Goals Scored 0.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vila Mea

(Home)
13 Sept
Vila Mea
4 : 0
Vinhais
06 Sept
Rebordosa
1 : 0
Vila Mea
30 Aug
Maia Lidador
1 : 0
Vila Mea
23 Aug
Vila Mea
1 : 1
AD Limianos
16 Aug
Ponte da Barca
1 : 2
Vila Mea
Page 1 of 6

Rebordosa

(Away)
27 Sept
AD Limianos
1 : 1
Rebordosa
06 Sept
Rebordosa
1 : 0
Vila Mea
30 Aug
Rebordosa
2 : 3
FC Alpendorada
23 Aug
Chaves B
1 : 0
Rebordosa
16 Aug
Rebordosa
0 : 1
Tirsense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rebordosa 26 17 7 2 41:17 58
2 Leca 26 14 9 3 50:23 51
3 Cinfaes 26 10 10 6 33:21 40
4 Beira Mar 26 10 8 8 30:22 38
5 FC Alpendorada 26 9 11 6 30:22 38
6 Florgrade 26 9 10 7 28:28 37
7 Vila Mea 26 7 13 6 29:28 34
8 Uniao Lamas 26 9 6 11 27:33 33
9 SC Salgueiros 26 7 11 8 20:19 32
10 Anadia 26 7 9 10 27:33 30
11 Aparecida 26 9 4 13 36:51 28
12 GD Resende 26 6 10 10 27:31 28
13 SC Vila Real 26 5 12 9 23:30 27
14 CD Gouveia 26 1 4 21 14:57 7
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)