Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vila Mea vs SC Vila Real

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Teixeira G.
80' Event
Mendes J.
90'
Syzyi S.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2025/2026 game between Vila Mea and SC Vila Real finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Vila Mea
35%
Draws
19%
SC Vila Real
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Vila Mea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Vila Mea carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Vila Mea are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Vila Mea Clean Sheet 68%
SC Vila Real Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vila Mea SC Vila Real
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 7
Draws 13 12
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.2 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
SC Vila Real vs Vila Mea
1:1
Feb 1, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Vila Mea vs SC Vila Real
1:1
Feb 13, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Vila Mea vs SC Vila Real
4:2
Nov 28, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
SC Vila Real vs Vila Mea
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vila Mea Compare

Top Goalscorer Mendes J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

SC Vila Real Compare

Top Goalscorer Teixeira G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vila Mea 95 / 100
SC Vila Real 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vila Mea SC Vila Real

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vila Mea Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.25 goals as a typical output.

Vila Mea found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

SC Vila Real has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Vila Mea stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vila Mea VS SC Vila Real
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Vila Mea

(Home)
18 Apr
Vila Mea
0 : 0
Anadia
12 Apr
SC Vila Real
1 : 1
Vila Mea
04 Apr
CD Gouveia
3 : 2
Vila Mea
22 Mar
Vila Mea
1 : 0
Rebordosa
15 Mar
Uniao Lamas
1 : 0
Vila Mea
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SC Vila Real

(Away)
18 Apr
Leca
3 : 0
SC Vila Real
12 Apr
SC Vila Real
1 : 1
Vila Mea
04 Apr
SC Vila Real
2 : 2
Rebordosa
22 Mar
Aparecida
3 : 1
SC Vila Real
15 Mar
SC Vila Real
0 : 3
GD Resende
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rebordosa 26 17 7 2 41:17 58
2 Leca 26 14 9 3 50:23 51
3 Cinfaes 26 10 10 6 33:21 40
4 Beira Mar 26 10 8 8 30:22 38
5 FC Alpendorada 26 9 11 6 30:22 38
6 Florgrade 26 9 10 7 28:28 37
7 Vila Mea 26 7 13 6 29:28 34
8 Uniao Lamas 26 9 6 11 27:33 33
9 SC Salgueiros 26 7 11 8 20:19 32
10 Anadia 26 7 9 10 27:33 30
11 Aparecida 26 9 4 13 36:51 28
12 GD Resende 26 6 10 10 27:31 28
13 SC Vila Real 26 5 12 9 23:30 27
14 CD Gouveia 26 1 4 21 14:57 7
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)