Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vila Nova FC U20 vs Aparecida EC U20

Brazil Brazil

Goiano U20 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vila Nova FC U20 play Aparecida EC U20 in the Goiano U20 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Vila Nova FC U20 averaged 1.98 goals scored and 1.36 conceded. Aparecida EC U20 averaged 1.07 goals scored and 1.27 conceded. In past meetings, Vila Nova FC U20 won 2, Aparecida EC U20 won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 7, 2024 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.54 for Vila Nova FC U20 and 0.81 for Aparecida EC U20. This points to a Vila Nova FC U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Vila Nova FC U20
32%
Draws
25%
Aparecida EC U20
Draw rate projection: 32% Favored: Vila Nova FC U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • Vila Nova FC U20 picked up more points recently compared to Aparecida EC U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.54 vs 0.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Vila Nova FC U20 Clean Sheet 26%
Aparecida EC U20 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vila Nova FC U20 Aparecida EC U20
Matches Played 42 15
Wins 21 4
Draws 11 7
Losses 10 4
Goals Scored 1.98 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.27

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2024 Goiano U20
Vila Nova FC U20 vs Aparecida EC U20
4:0
Jun 3, 2024 Goiano U20
Aparecida EC U20 vs Vila Nova FC U20
1:1
Mar 8, 2024 Goiano U20
Vila Nova FC U20 vs Aparecida EC U20
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vila Nova FC U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Paje G.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Gustavo Sarjani
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Aparecida EC U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vila Nova FC U20 44 / 100
Aparecida EC U20 25 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vila Nova FC U20 Aparecida EC U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Vila Nova FC U20 or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23%
2.86
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.4%
1.92
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Vila Nova FC U20 attacking → ← attacking Aparecida EC U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vila Nova FC U20 scored in 86% of their last 42 games.

Aparecida EC U20 let in goals in 73% of their last 15 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Vila Nova FC U20 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Aparecida EC U20 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

74 Points in last 5 19
1.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00