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Vila Nova FC vs Capital

Brazil Brazil

Copa Centro-Oeste Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga, Goiânia
Vila Nova FC Logo

Vila Nova FC

0 - 0
FT
Capital Logo

Capital

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-0. This leg finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Vila Nova FC
30%
Draws
31%
Capital
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vila Nova FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Capital haven't matched Vila Nova FC's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Capital a 31% chance of winning this.
  • Vila Nova FC have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Vila Nova FC, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 16.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Vila Nova FC Clean Sheet 16%
Capital Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vila Nova FC Capital
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 17 14
Draws 5 10
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 1.55 1.63
Goals Conceded 1 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.78 1.46
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2026 Copa Centro-Oeste
Vila Nova FC vs Capital
0:0
Jan 9, 2020 Club Friendly
Vila Nova FC vs Capital
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vila Nova FC 11 / 100
Capital 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vila Nova FC Capital

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Capital Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vila Nova FC's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Capital's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Vila Nova FC has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Vila Nova FC VS Capital
0.88 Goals Scored 1.67
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.67
75% Over 1.5 67%
38% Over 2.5 33%
0% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Vila Nova FC

(Home)
25 Sept
Vila Nova FC
2 : 0
Londrina
18 Sept
Vila Nova FC
1 : 0
America MG
15 Sept
Avai
1 : 1
Vila Nova FC
10 Sept
Vila Nova FC
2 : 0
Goias
04 Sept
Athletic Club
5 : 0
Vila Nova FC
Page 1 of 7

Capital

(Away)
12 Jul
Capital
1 : 1
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
04 Jul
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
1 : 0
Capital
27 Jun
Capital
4 : 0
Aparecidense
20 Jun
Aparecidense
1 : 1
Capital
07 Jun
Capital
2 : 0
Uniao Rondonopolis
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vila Nova FC 5 2 2 1 10:4 8
2 Rio Branco ES 5 2 2 1 5:4 8
3 Operario MS 5 2 2 1 8:10 8
4 Araguaina 5 2 1 2 6:4 7
5 Capital 5 1 3 1 6:7 6
6 Primavera AC 5 0 2 3 6:12 2
Promotion - Copa Centro-Oeste (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gama 5 5 0 0 8:3 15
2 Anapolis 5 3 0 2 9:3 9
3 Atletico GO 5 2 1 2 5:5 7
4 Porto Vitoria 5 2 1 2 7:8 7
5 Tocantinopolis 5 0 3 2 2:5 3
6 Cuiaba 5 0 1 4 2:9 1
Promotion - Copa Centro-Oeste (Play Offs)