Sport Picks
Vila Nova FC vs Ceara - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Brazil
Serie B Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga, Goiânia 
Match Events
16'
16'
Breno Augusto
Assist: Tiago Pagnussat
45'
45'
Sub
Breno Augusto In: Willian Formiga
Out: Breno Augusto
46'
46'
Sub
Richardson In: Vinicius Zanocelo
Out: Richardson
AI Match Summary
The Serie B game between Vila Nova FC and Ceara finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vila Nova FC.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
33%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Vila Nova FC come out ahead of Ceara on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Vila Nova FC Clean Sheet 68%
Ceara Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Vila Nova FC | Ceara |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 9 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 9 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.34 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 30, 2026 Serie B
Vila Nova FC vs Ceara
2:0
Apr 26, 2026 Serie B
Ceara vs Vila Nova FC
3:3
Sep 22, 2024 Serie B
Ceara vs Vila Nova FC
4:0
Jun 10, 2024 Serie B
Vila Nova FC vs Ceara
3:2
Nov 18, 2023 Serie B
Vila Nova FC vs Ceara
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Vila Nova FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Breno Augusto
1 Goals Assists Leader Andre Luis
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Ceara Compare
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Vila Nova FC 41 / 100
Ceara 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Vila Nova FC Ceara
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Vila Nova FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ceara let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.
H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Vila Nova FC remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Vila Nova FC's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Vila Nova FC VS Ceara
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Vila Nova FC
(Home) 07 Oct
Vila Nova FC
0 : 0 Cuiaba
03 Oct
Botafogo SP
0 : 1 Vila Nova FC
25 Sept
Vila Nova FC
2 : 0 Londrina
18 Sept
Vila Nova FC
1 : 0 America MG
15 Sept
Avai
1 : 1 Vila Nova FC
Page 1 of 6
07 Oct
Vila Nova FC
0 : 0 Cuiaba
25 Sept
Vila Nova FC
2 : 0 Londrina
18 Sept
Vila Nova FC
1 : 0 America MG
10 Sept
Vila Nova FC
2 : 0 Goias
30 Aug
Vila Nova FC
2 : 0 Ceara
Page 1 of 3
Ceara
(Away) 08 Oct
Ceara
1 : 0 Criciuma
03 Oct
Avai
0 : 1 Ceara
26 Sept
Operario-PR
2 : 2 Ceara
18 Sept
Ceara
2 : 1 Novorizontino
13 Sept
Fortaleza
1 : 1 Ceara
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Avai
0 : 1 Ceara
26 Sept
Operario-PR
2 : 2 Ceara
13 Sept
Fortaleza
1 : 1 Ceara
10 Sept
Atletico GO
2 : 1 Ceara
30 Aug
Vila Nova FC
2 : 0 Ceara
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | EC Juventude | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 37:19 | 59 |
| 2 | Vila Nova FC | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 44:31 | 58 |
| 3 | Novorizontino | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 54:27 | 57 |
| 4 | Fortaleza | 32 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 37:27 | 56 |
| 5 | Criciuma | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 33:28 | 53 |
| 6 | Atletico GO | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 40:30 | 52 |
| 7 | CRB | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 49:45 | 51 |
| 8 | Sport Recife | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 44:34 | 50 |
| 9 | Operario-PR | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 44:43 | 48 |
| 10 | Cuiaba | 32 | 11 | 14 | 7 | 32:25 | 47 |
| 11 | Goias | 32 | 13 | 6 | 13 | 32:40 | 45 |
| 12 | Sao Bernardo | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 44:34 | 45 |
| 13 | Nautico | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 39:40 | 42 |
| 14 | Ceara | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 35:39 | 42 |
| 15 | Athletic Club | 32 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 38:37 | 42 |
| 16 | Botafogo SP | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 36:38 | 38 |
| 17 | Avai | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 32:43 | 33 |
| 18 | Londrina | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 40:47 | 28 |
| 19 | America MG | 32 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 21:53 | 17 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 32 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 17:68 | 13 |
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)
