Sport Picks
Vila Nova FC vs Fortaleza - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Brazil
Serie B Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga, Goiânia 
Match Events
14'
14'
Douglas Mendes
Assist: Marquinhos Gabriel
32'
32'
Joao Vieira
46'
46'
Sub
Miritello J. B. In: Nathan Fogaca
Out: Miritello J. B.
AI Match Summary
Vila Nova FC in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vila Nova FC.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
35%
29%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Vila Nova FC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
36%
/ Low Confidence
- Fortaleza haven't matched Vila Nova FC's recent run of results.
- Model gives Vila Nova FC a 36% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Vila Nova FC Clean Sheet 68%
Fortaleza Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Vila Nova FC | Fortaleza |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 15 | 13 |
| Draws | 5 | 8 |
| Losses | 9 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.34 | 1.18 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 22, 2026 Serie B
Vila Nova FC vs Fortaleza
2:1
Sep 22, 2018 Serie B
Fortaleza vs Vila Nova FC
2:0
Jun 6, 2018 Serie B
Vila Nova FC vs Fortaleza
0:0
Aug 8, 2015 Serie C
Vila Nova FC vs Fortaleza
0:0
May 23, 2015 Serie C
Fortaleza vs Vila Nova FC
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Vila Nova FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Douglas Mendes
1 Goals Assists Leader Joao Vieira
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
Fortaleza Compare
Top Goalscorer Pedro Henrique
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Vila Nova FC 50 / 100
Fortaleza 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Vila Nova FC Fortaleza
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Vila Nova FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Recent resilience: Vila Nova FC stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Vila Nova FC scored in 69% of their last 29 games.
Fortaleza's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 28 matches.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Vila Nova FC VS Fortaleza
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Vila Nova FC
(Home) 07 Oct
Vila Nova FC
0 : 0 Cuiaba
03 Oct
Botafogo SP
0 : 1 Vila Nova FC
25 Sept
Vila Nova FC
2 : 0 Londrina
18 Sept
Vila Nova FC
1 : 0 America MG
15 Sept
Avai
1 : 1 Vila Nova FC
Page 1 of 6
07 Oct
Vila Nova FC
0 : 0 Cuiaba
25 Sept
Vila Nova FC
2 : 0 Londrina
18 Sept
Vila Nova FC
1 : 0 America MG
10 Sept
Vila Nova FC
2 : 0 Goias
30 Aug
Vila Nova FC
2 : 0 Ceara
Page 1 of 3
Fortaleza
(Away) 07 Oct
America MG
0 : 1 Fortaleza
03 Oct
Fortaleza
1 : 1 Nautico
27 Sept
Fortaleza
2 : 2 Athletic Club
20 Sept
Londrina
1 : 2 Fortaleza
13 Sept
Fortaleza
1 : 1 Ceara
Page 1 of 6
07 Oct
America MG
0 : 1 Fortaleza
20 Sept
Londrina
1 : 2 Fortaleza
05 Sept
Goias
0 : 1 Fortaleza
23 Aug
Criciuma
0 : 2 Fortaleza
15 Aug
EC Juventude
0 : 0 Fortaleza
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | EC Juventude | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 37:19 | 59 |
| 2 | Vila Nova FC | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 44:31 | 58 |
| 3 | Novorizontino | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 54:27 | 57 |
| 4 | Fortaleza | 32 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 37:27 | 56 |
| 5 | Criciuma | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 33:28 | 53 |
| 6 | Atletico GO | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 40:30 | 52 |
| 7 | CRB | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 49:45 | 51 |
| 8 | Sport Recife | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 44:34 | 50 |
| 9 | Operario-PR | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 44:43 | 48 |
| 10 | Cuiaba | 32 | 11 | 14 | 7 | 32:25 | 47 |
| 11 | Goias | 32 | 13 | 6 | 13 | 32:40 | 45 |
| 12 | Sao Bernardo | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 44:34 | 45 |
| 13 | Nautico | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 39:40 | 42 |
| 14 | Ceara | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 35:39 | 42 |
| 15 | Athletic Club | 32 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 38:37 | 42 |
| 16 | Botafogo SP | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 36:38 | 38 |
| 17 | Avai | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 32:43 | 33 |
| 18 | Londrina | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 40:47 | 28 |
| 19 | America MG | 32 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 21:53 | 17 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 32 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 17:68 | 13 |
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)
