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Vila Nova FC vs Novorizontino - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga, Goiânia
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
09:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vila Nova FC host Novorizontino in the Serie B. Little to choose between these two on current form. Novorizontino have shipped 0.82 goals a game lately, while Vila Nova FC have conceded 0.93 and scored 1.29. Head-to-head, Vila Nova FC have won 1 to Novorizontino's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Jun 26, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.00 vs 1.44, favoring Novorizontino. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Vila Nova FC
35%
Draws
27%
Novorizontino
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Vila Nova FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Vila Nova FC have managed 1.29 goals a game lately — Novorizontino are scoring more at 1.71.
  • Vila Nova FC are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Vila Nova FC Clean Sheet 16%
Novorizontino Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vila Nova FC Novorizontino
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 15 15
Draws 4 7
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 1.29 1.71
Goals Conceded 0.93 0.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 26, 2026 Serie B
Novorizontino vs Vila Nova FC
2:1
Sep 28, 2025 Serie B
Novorizontino vs Vila Nova FC
1:1
May 30, 2025 Serie B
Vila Nova FC vs Novorizontino
0:1
Aug 31, 2024 Serie B
Novorizontino vs Vila Nova FC
2:0
May 14, 2024 Serie B
Vila Nova FC vs Novorizontino
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vila Nova FC 41 / 100
Novorizontino 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vila Nova FC Novorizontino

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vila Nova FC went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Vila Nova FC found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

Novorizontino has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

Vila Nova FC VS Novorizontino
1.13 Goals Scored 2.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Vila Nova FC

(Home)
07 Oct
Vila Nova FC
0 : 0
Cuiaba
03 Oct
Botafogo SP
0 : 1
Vila Nova FC
25 Sept
Vila Nova FC
2 : 0
Londrina
18 Sept
Vila Nova FC
1 : 0
America MG
15 Sept
Avai
1 : 1
Vila Nova FC
Page 1 of 6

Novorizontino

(Away)
08 Oct
Nautico
0 : 2
Novorizontino
02 Oct
Novorizontino
3 : 0
Goias
25 Sept
Novorizontino
0 : 0
Sao Bernardo
18 Sept
Ceara
2 : 1
Novorizontino
13 Sept
Novorizontino
1 : 1
Cuiaba
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 EC Juventude 32 17 8 7 37:19 59
2 Vila Nova FC 32 17 7 8 44:31 58
3 Novorizontino 32 16 9 7 54:27 57
4 Fortaleza 32 15 11 6 37:27 56
5 Criciuma 32 15 8 9 33:28 53
6 Atletico GO 32 14 10 8 40:30 52
7 CRB 32 15 6 11 49:45 51
8 Sport Recife 32 13 11 8 44:34 50
9 Operario-PR 32 13 9 10 44:43 48
10 Cuiaba 32 11 14 7 32:25 47
11 Goias 32 13 6 13 32:40 45
12 Sao Bernardo 32 12 9 11 44:34 45
13 Nautico 32 11 9 12 39:40 42
14 Ceara 32 11 9 12 35:39 42
15 Athletic Club 32 10 12 10 38:37 42
16 Botafogo SP 32 10 8 14 36:38 38
17 Avai 32 9 6 17 32:43 33
18 Londrina 32 7 7 18 40:47 28
19 America MG 32 4 5 23 21:53 17
20 Ponte Preta 32 3 4 25 17:68 13
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)