Sport Picks
Vila Nova FC vs Ponte Preta
Brazil
Serie B Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga, Goiânia 
Match Events
9'
9'
Janderson
Assist: Andre Luis
13'
13'
Andre Luis
Assist: Dellatorre
19'
19'
Sub
Elvis In: Juan Rodrigues
Out: Elvis
AI Match Summary
The Serie B game between Vila Nova FC and Ponte Preta finished 6-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vila Nova FC.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
65%
15%
20%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vila Nova FC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ High Confidence
- Vila Nova FC carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Vila Nova FC's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 26%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Vila Nova FC Clean Sheet 68%
Ponte Preta Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Vila Nova FC | Ponte Preta |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 4 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 9 | 22 |
| Goals Scored | 1.34 | 0.6 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 2.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 0.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 19, 2026 Serie B
Vila Nova FC vs Ponte Preta
6:0
Apr 11, 2026 Serie B
Ponte Preta vs Vila Nova FC
0:1
Nov 11, 2024 Serie B
Vila Nova FC vs Ponte Preta
2:1
Jul 24, 2024 Serie B
Ponte Preta vs Vila Nova FC
2:0
Sep 15, 2023 Serie B
Vila Nova FC vs Ponte Preta
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Vila Nova FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Janderson
1 Goals Assists Leader Andre Luis
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97
Ponte Preta Compare
Avg xG / game 0.51
Avg xA / game 0.31
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Vila Nova FC 95 / 100
Ponte Preta 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Vila Nova FC Ponte Preta
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Vila Nova FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 2:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Ponte Preta conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.
Attacking prowess: Vila Nova FC scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Vila Nova FC remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Vila Nova FC VS Ponte Preta
1.63 Goals Scored 0.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Vila Nova FC
(Home) 18 Sept
Vila Nova FC
1 : 0 America MG
15 Sept
Avai
1 : 1 Vila Nova FC
10 Sept
Vila Nova FC
2 : 0 Goias
04 Sept
Athletic Club
5 : 0 Vila Nova FC
30 Aug
Vila Nova FC
2 : 0 Ceara
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Vila Nova FC
1 : 0 America MG
10 Sept
Vila Nova FC
2 : 0 Goias
30 Aug
Vila Nova FC
2 : 0 Ceara
19 Aug
Vila Nova FC
6 : 0 Ponte Preta
08 Aug
Vila Nova FC
0 : 1 Sport Recife
Page 1 of 3
Ponte Preta
(Away) 20 Sept
Ponte Preta
1 : 0 CRB
15 Sept
Londrina
6 : 0 Ponte Preta
11 Sept
Sport Recife
2 : 0 Ponte Preta
06 Sept
Ponte Preta
0 : 2 Sao Bernardo
30 Aug
America MG
2 : 0 Ponte Preta
Page 1 of 6
15 Sept
Londrina
6 : 0 Ponte Preta
11 Sept
Sport Recife
2 : 0 Ponte Preta
30 Aug
America MG
2 : 0 Ponte Preta
19 Aug
Vila Nova FC
6 : 0 Ponte Preta
07 Aug
Ceara
2 : 0 Ponte Preta
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vila Nova FC | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 41:31 | 51 |
| 2 | Fortaleza | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 33:24 | 51 |
| 3 | Novorizontino | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 49:27 | 50 |
| 4 | EC Juventude | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 31:19 | 50 |
| 5 | Operario-PR | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 41:36 | 47 |
| 6 | Criciuma | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 28:27 | 47 |
| 7 | Atletico GO | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 36:27 | 46 |
| 8 | CRB | 29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | 42:41 | 45 |
| 9 | Sport Recife | 29 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 39:29 | 44 |
| 10 | Cuiaba | 29 | 10 | 13 | 6 | 30:22 | 43 |
| 11 | Goias | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 30:35 | 42 |
| 12 | Sao Bernardo | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 40:31 | 41 |
| 13 | Athletic Club | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 34:31 | 41 |
| 14 | Nautico | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 35:36 | 38 |
| 15 | Ceara | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 31:37 | 35 |
| 16 | Botafogo SP | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 32:36 | 32 |
| 17 | Avai | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 30:38 | 30 |
| 18 | Londrina | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 39:41 | 28 |
| 19 | America MG | 29 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 21:49 | 17 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 29 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 17:62 | 13 |
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)
